Can the Lions Cover the NFL Spread Against Packers in Week 17?

Can the Lions Cover the NFL Spread Against Packers in Week 17?

Written by Eric Williams on Thursday,December 28, 2017 3:20, EDT

With the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers both having no shot of reaching the playoffs, which team will show they’ve got more pride when the two longtime NFC North division rivals square off in their Week 17 regular season finale this coming weekend with the home team in command of the NFL spread?

Let’s find out now which team is offering the best value against their NFL betting odds in this regular season-ending showdown if it can be called that way!

Green Bay (7-8) at Detroit (8-7) Week 17 NFL Spread & Game Preview

  • When: Sunday, December 31, 2017, 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
  • TV: FOX
  • Radio: 102.9 FM (Green Bay) / 95.7 FM (Detroit)
  • Live Stream: Fox Sports Go
  • NFL Spread: Detroit Lions -6.5 (Over/Under at 43 points)

Weather Forecast

  • Mostly Cloudy: -13°C/9°F
  • Humidity: 74%
  • Precipitation: 2%
  • Cloud Cover: 62%
  • Wind: 7 mph NNW
  • Stadium Type: Indoor

How to Bet on Panthers at Falcons NFL Odds & Week 17 Pick

Team Records

  • All: Green Bay 7-8 / Detroit 8-7
  • Home: Green Bay 4-4 / Detroit 3-4
  • Away: Green Bay 3-4 / Detroit 5-3
  • ATS: Green Bay 7-8 / Detroit 7-7-1
  • Over/Under: Green Bay 10-5 / Detroit 9-5-1

Why Bet on the Green Bay Packers Odds at +6.5?

Why bet the on the Packers in this contest? Well, because they’re the more well-run organization and have a better head coach and they’d probably like to avoid their first losing season in almost a decade.

The Packers (7-8 ATS) have lost two straight and four of their last six games and now they want to finish the year by avoiding their first losing season since 2008. Unfortunately, backup quarterback Brett Hundley has proven he’s clearly not the answer for Green Bay whenever Aaron Rodgers does decide to hang up his cleats.

Hell, he’s not even the short-term answer at backup next season if you ask me. Hundley has thrown eight touchdowns and 10 interceptions in place of Rodgers this season. Still, head coach Mike McCarthy is expecting a good effort out of his team in their regular season finale.

“It’s important to play to win,” McCarthy said. “To me, this isn’t preseason. It would be the wrong message to send to your locker room and a terrible message to send to your fans. People are going to Ford Field to see the Green Bay Packers play the Lions, so we’re going there to win. If our players are healthy, I expect them to play.”

Green Bay is averaging just 20.6 points per game (19th) this season while allowing 23.3 points per game defensively (21st).

Why Bet on the Detroit Lions Odds at -6.5?

Why bet on the Lions in this contest? Well, they’ve got a chance to get the super-rare season sweep, they’re playing at home and have the far better quarterback taking the field – at least for a while in this meaningless matchup. Oh, and they’re probably playing their last game for head coach Jim Caldwell, so they probably want to send him out on a positive note.

“Everybody gets evaluated at the end of the year, everybody, players, coaches, scheme, everything,” Caldwell said when asked about his job status recently. “So, that’s part of the process.”

Playing at home, and according to the Week 17 NFL Spread, the Lions are favorites to beat Green Bay.

 

Despite seeing their postseason hopes go down the drain with last week’s crushing 26-17 loss to Cincinnati the Lions (7-7-1ATS) have a chance to finish with a winning record for the first time in back-to-back seasons since 1999-2000. The bad news is that Detroit has lost four of their last six home games. Matthew Stafford has completed 65.5 percent of his passes for 4,123 yards, 26 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions.

“I’m the leader of the team,” Stafford said. “Got to go out there and help our guys win. Didn’t do it enough this year, obviously, but a chance to go do it again Sunday with this group of guys will be a lot of fun. To not have a chance to play a little extra football at the end of the season is not a good feeling”.

Detroit averages 25.0 points per game (8th) while allowing 24.3 points per game defensively (25th).

Latest Betting Trends for NFL Week 17

  • Packers are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games on the road
  • Packers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay’s last 5 games
  • Lions are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games at home
  • Lions are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit’s last 8 games at home

Expert Analysis and Prediction

The Packers have nothing left to play for and they have no hope of beating Detroit in their regular-season finale as long as the awful Brett Hundley is under center. I know the Lions Detroit choked in a big way last weekend and blew their slim chance to keep their playoff hopes alive, but Matt Stafford and company will at least close out their regular season with an emphatic win over the hated, division rival Packers.

The Packers are 1-6 against the NFL Spread in their last seven games against a team with a winning record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against their NFC counterparts while the Lions have gone 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games against their NFC North division rivals and 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a losing record. The Lions win, cover the NFL spread and you cash in!

Pick: Detroit Lions -6.5