With a chance to steal the No. 1 overall seed in the AFC playoffs still a possibility, Philip Rivers and the Los Angeles Chargers will almost assuredly be going all out to take down the AFC West division rival Denver Broncos when the two longtime rivals square off in their Week 17 matchup on Sunday.
If you want to know whether the Bolts will win and cover the chalk or whether the Broncos are the better pick as a road dog, then let’s get to my expert NFL week 17 pick right now.
Chargers at Broncos NFL Week 17 Odds, Analysis & Prediction
- When: Sunday, December 30, 2018, 4:25 PM ET
- Where: Broncos Stadium at Mile High, Denver, Colorado
- TV: NBC
- Radio: SiriusXM/NFL
- Live Stream: NFL League Pass
- NFL Week 17 Odds: LA Chargers -6.5 (Total 41.5)
- Partly Cloudy: 7°C/45°F
- Humidity: 28%
- Precipitation: 0%
- Cloud Cover: 45%
- Wind: 7 mph N
- Stadium Type: Open
Why Bet On The Chargers at -6.5?
Why should you consider betting on the Bolts in this contest? There are a bunch of good reasons. First of all, the Chargers are the far better offensive team averaging 27.0 points per game (5th) to Denver’s far more modest 21.3 points per contest (22nd). Next, Los Angeles is also the better defensive team in limiting the opposition to just 21.3 points per contest defensively (8th) while Denver allows a tad more at 21.7 points per contest (12th).
The Chargers also have plenty of motivation after having their four-game winning streak snapped in their humbling 22-10 loss against Baltimore last weekend while as a 4-point home favorite no less.
Last but not least, while the Bolts already have a spot in the playoffs locked up, make no mistake about it, Philip Rivers and company need a win in this regular-season finale to keep their chance alive to steal the top seed in the AFC playoffs from AFC West rival Kansas City.
- Average Score For: 27.00
- Total Yards: 379.06
- Rush Yards: 117.13
- Passing Yards: 261.93
- Average Score Against: 21.33
- Total Yards: 331.27
- Rush Yards: 107.40
- Passing Yards: 223.87
Why Bet On Broncos at +6.5?
Why should you consider betting on Denver in this contest? The best reason is that the Broncos already beat the Chargers once this season and they know their division rivals quite well.
Unfortunately, the Broncos have dropped three straight while getting held to 16 points or less in each contest including their 27-14 loss to Oakland on Monday night as Case Keenum tossed two TD passes but canceled them out by tossing a pair of costly interceptions.
- Average Score For: 21.33
- Total Yards: 348.80
- Rush Yards: 121.67
- Passing Yards: 227.13
- Average Score Against: 21.73
- Total Yards: 371.10
- Rush Yards: 119.80
- Passing Yards: 251.13
Chargers at Broncos NFL Week 17 Betting Trends
- LA is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
- LA is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers’s last 7 games on the road
- Denver is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games
- Denver is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver’s last 5 games
Expert NFL Betting Analysis and Prediction for Chargers at Broncos
The Chargers want some payback for their surprising Week 11 home loss against Denver and I believe they’ll easily get it because of how important this game could be for them.
The Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home while the Broncos have gone 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC West, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in the month of December.
Los Angeles is also a convincing 8-2-5 ATS in their last 15 meetings in Denver, so keep it simple here and go along with the compelling 65 percent of public bettors that like the Bolts to win and cover!
Score: Los Angeles Chargers 27 – Denver Broncos 17