Chargers vs 49ers 2019 NFL Preseason Week 4 Lines, Betting Analysis & Pick

Chargers vs 49ers 2019 NFL Preseason Week 4 Lines, Betting Analysis & Pick

Written by on August 28, 2019

The San Francisco 49ers will look to finish the preseason unbeaten when they host a Los Angeles Chargers team that would like to avoid going winless this scrimmage campaign when the two California-based franchises square off in their Week 4 inter-conference clash on Thursday night, live from Levi’s Stadium. With the Niners looking to reach the postseason after another uninspiring season a year ago and the Bolts looking to live up to their legitimate Super Bowl hopes, let’s find out where the best value lies in this matchup.

Chargers vs 49ers 2019 NFL Preseason Week 4 Lines, Betting Analysis & Pick

Head-to-Head Trends

  • Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Why Bet On The Chargers at +4?

The Chargers fell to 0-3 on the preseason by suffering a 23-15 loss to Seattle the last time out as starting quarterback Philip Rivers sat. Veteran backup Tyrod Taylor went 6 of 9 for 61 yards while rookie signal-caller Easton Stick strengthened his case for the third-string job over Cardale Jones by going an impressive 12 for 16 for 82 yards with one TD pass and one touchdown run in the fourth quarter of the loss.

“For three quarters there wasn’t a whole lot to be excited about in my opinion,” Lynn said. “We did not do a good job of containing their quarterbacks.”

Defensively, Drue Tranquill led the Chargers with nine tackles while Chris Peace had one sack and Isaac Rochell had one tackle for loss, which dropped the Bolts to 2-5 over their last seven preseason contests dating back to last season.

Why Bet On The 49ers at -4?

The Niners improved to 3-0 in preseason action by getting past Kansas City 27-17 in Week 3 as starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo had a strong performance by going 14 for 20 for 188 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions. Backup signal-caller Nick Mullens went 8 of 11 for 84 yards in relief of Jimmy G after Garoppolo bounced back nicely from a horrendous preseason debut in Week 2.

“Last week wasn’t nearly as bad as it looked, but it definitely looked that bad live,” 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan said. “Today, everyone was on the same page a little bit better, moved the chains a couple of times and just got into a rhythm and start playing football.”

Running back Jeff Wilson Jr. led the 49ers with 45 rushing yards and two touchdowns on a dozen carries, while Richie James had 66 receiving yards on four receptions. Defensively, Damontre’ Moore led the 49ers with five tackles while Arik Armstead and Jay Bromley both added a half-sack in the win.

Chargers vs 49ers NFL Preseason Week 4 Betting Trends

  • Chargers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 Thursday games.
  • Chargers are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 road games.
  • 49ers are 7-16 ATS in the last 23 home games.
  • 49ers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games overall.

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Chargers vs 49ers

The Chargers might be a winless 0-3 right now while Frisco is a polar-opposite 3-0, but I like the Bolts to get the outright win in this one because of the edge they have at the backup quarterback position. While neither starter will see the field in this mostly meaningless preseason finale, I think the trio of Tyrod Taylor, Easton Stick and Cardale Jones will out-perform Nick Mullens and C.J. Beathard.

The Chargers are a near perfect 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games while the Niners have gone 7-16 ATS in their last 23 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The road team in this rivalry is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and I believe the Bolts will be looking to get the feel-good, confidence-boosting win in this preseason finale.

Pick: Chargers 23 49ers 20

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