Lions vs Chargers Betting Odds and Expert Analysis for Week 10

There are some really intriguing matchups around the NFL in Week 10 and one of those is NFC North-leading Detroit at the Los Angeles Chargers – there might be more Lions fans in attendance in LA, and Detroit is a short favorite on the NFL odds. 2023 NFL Expert Analysis Lions vs Chargers | MyBookie Sportsbook NFL Regular Season: September 7, 2023 – January 7, 2024 | Week 10 NFL

How to Bet Lions at Chargers NFL Odds & TV Info

When: Sunday, 4:05 PM ET
Where: SoFi Stadium
TV: CBS
Radio: http://www.siriusxm.com/nfl
Stream Option: https://tv.youtube.com/learn/nflsundayticket/
Opening NFL Lines: Lions -3 (total 48.5)

Series History

Sunday’s matchup will mark the 13th regular-season meeting between the two teams. The Chargers hold a 7-5 all-time record against the Lions and have won seven of the past nine. They haven’t played since 2019 and this is the first-ever game between the two in Los Angeles.

Why Bet on Detroit?

The Lions come out of their bye at 6-2 and atop the NFC North, which they haven’t won since 1993. They will this year barring injury. In the team’s 26-14 win over the Raiders last time out, rookie running back Jahmyr Gibbs posted a career-best 189 scrimmage yards (152 rushing, 37 receiving) and became the fourth rookie in Detroit franchise history to rush for 150 yards and a touchdown, joining Kevin Jones (2004), Hall of Famer Barry Sanders (1989) and Billy Sims (1980). Both Sanders and Sims earned AP Offensive Rookie of the Year in those respective seasons.

Gibbs is still a longer shot for Offensive Rookie of the Year and he’s going to lose touches starting this week because No. 1 David Montgomery is back from injury. Montgomery hasn’t suited up since suffering a rib cartilage injury Week 6 at Tampa Bay, missing two games as a result. Gibbs wasn’t used much when Montgomery was healthy but that may change some as Lions head coach Dan Campbell indicated this week that Gibbs could see an uptick in his work in the team’s backfield rotation during the second half of the season. In a loss to the Ravens in Week 7 and a win over the Raiders in Week 8, Gibbs played 86 and 69 percent of the Lions’ snaps on offense, respectively.

“I don’t think necessarily, talking to you right now, that I see Gibbs getting 65 plays. I don’t see that,” Campbell said. “But he’s going to get his fair share now. We know what we can be and he’s growing, so I think it’ll be a little bit by committee and make sure we get those guys touches. Gibbs’ll get his touches.”

Lions receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown enters his 41st career game with 253 catches, the fourth player in history to reach 250 receptions in his first 40 contests. Odell Beckham Jr., Anquan Boldin and Michael Thomas are the only other players to accomplish the feat.

Since Week 9 of the 2022 season, Detroit quarterback Jared Goff is 14-4 (.778). That’s the fourth-highest winning percentage among starting quarterbacks behind Jalen Hurts (15-2, .882), Patrick Mahomes (16-3, .842) and Joe Burrow (13-3, .813), with a minimum of two starts. Also in that span, Goff owns the NFL’s best touchdown-interception ratio (4.8, 29 touchdown passes, six interceptions) among quarterbacks who’ve started games in both 2022 and 2023.

Detroit’s Sam LaPorta has 43 receptions, third all-time among rookie tight ends through their first eight NFL games. Only Keith Jackson (48 in 1988) and Jordan Reed (44 in 2013) have more. If there’s one offensive issue, it’s that the Lions have yet to score a point on their first possession of the second half. In the Lions’ eight possessions to begin the second half this season they’ve punted six times, turned the ball over on a fumble and missed a field goal. Houston is the only other team who hasn’t scored a point on any first possession of the second half this season.

As the coaches look back on the first two months the two games that will probably jump out are Detroit’s two losses to Seattle and Baltimore. Detroit’s defense recorded 17 hurries of Seattle QB Geno Smith in Week 2 and 16 against Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson in Week 7. Those 35 combined hurries resulted in just one sack and two quarterback hits combined. The Lions have to find a way to finish at the quarterback more.

Why Bet on LA Chargers?

It’s a short week for the Bolts after they won 27-6 at the Jets on Monday despite finishing with less than 200 yards offense. Derius Davis opened the scoring with a dazzling 87-yard punt return for a touchdown to open the scoring in the first quarter. Davis also added a 17-yard return late in the second quarter that helped set up a Bolts field goal just before halftime.

That gave him 104 punt return yards in the first half … which equaled the same offensive output as the Jets offense through two quarters. The Chargers defense stifled the Jets overall to the tune of 8.0 sacks, three takeaways and limited New York to just three third-down conversions on 17 tries.

The Bolts now sit with the second-most sacks in the NFL with 31. They also lead the NFL with 19.0 sacks on third downs this season and are one of only two teams in the league to have four players with 4.0 sacks. Rookie outside linebacker Tuli Tuipulotu has been a huge surprise. In addition to his 4.0 sacks, the second-round pick also has seven tackles for loss and seven quarterback hits. Tuipulotu has the second-most total pressures (29), second-most run stops (14) and best run defense grade (84.3) among all rookie edge rushers who have played at least 20 percent of the snaps.

Bolts QB Justin Herbert completed just 16 of his 30 pass attempts for 136 yards. He didn’t record a touchdown or an interception. Only Keenan Allen (8-9-77) really did much of anything and reached 10,000 career receiving yards, becoming the first Chargers receiver to reach the milestone. Austin Ekeler carried the ball 14 times for 47 yards and two touchdowns. He also caught two of his seven targets for 23 yards. Teammate Khalil Mack is tied for fifth in the NFL with 9.0 sacks, followed by Joe Bosa’s 6.5, which is tied for 13th among all players.

The win moved the Chargers to .500 for the second time this season, giving them arguably their best win of the season over a team that had given the Philadelphia Eagles their only loss and beaten Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. The Bolts are one of six teams who picked up wins in Weeks 8 and 9, and their combined point differential of plus-38 in the past two weeks ranks second only behind the Ravens. Overall, the Bolts sit 11th in the NFL with a point differential of plus-27.

It appears the Chargers got out of Monday healthy.

NFL Regular Season Expert Prediction

Lions 24, Chargers 23

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