Chiefs vs 49ers Super Bowl LIV Moneyline Betting Pick

Chiefs vs 49ers Super Bowl LIV Moneyline Betting Pick

Written by on January 28, 2020

If you’re an NFL betting enthusiast that likes to take the guesswork out of making often arduous ATS picks and you’re preparing to make a simple, Super Bowl LIV Moneyline wager on the outright winner, then you’re in luck!Thanks to the expert Super Bowl betting insight that you’re about to get, you’re going to be able to maximize your chances of potentially cashing in when the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers square off in Super Bowl LIV.This year’s season-ending championship showdown gets underway on Sunday February 2 at 6:30 PM ET, live from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Now, let’s find out where the best Moneyline value lies in this highly-anticipated pairing.

Chiefs vs 49ers Super Bowl LIV Moneyline Betting Pick

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy:  13°C/56°F
  • Humidity: 67%
  • Precipitation: 10%
  • Wind: 9 mph NW
  • Cloud Cover: 24%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On San Francisco?

The 49ers reached the Super Bowl by shutting down Kirk Cousins and Dalvin Cook to get past the Vikings 27-10 in the NFC divisional round. Frisco then pounded the hell out of Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers en route to a commanding 37-20 beat-down win in the NFC Championship game.San Francisco has won four straight dating back to the regular season, but the Niners have dropped two of their last seven games and three of their last 10 games overall while losing to the Seahawks, Ravens and Falcons along the way.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 374.4
  • Passing Yards: 236.9
  • Rushing Yards: 137.5
  • Points Scored: 25.9
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 381.6
  • Passing Yards: 263.9
  • Rushing Yards: 117.7
  • Points Allowed: 24.9

Why Bet On Kansas City?

The Chiefs reached Super Bowl 54 by exploding on Houston to win their AFC divisional round matchup 51-31 before going on to overwhelm Tennessee 35-24 in the AFC Championship game. Kansas City has won an impressive eight straight games while posting a nearly unblemished 7-0-1 ATS mark during the stretch.Reigning league MVP Patrick Mahomes has been phenomenal this postseason in passing for 615 yards and eight touchdowns while throwing no interceptions while running back Damien Williams has rushed for 92 yards and three touchdowns.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 381.1
  • Passing Yards: 237
  • Rushing Yards: 144.1
  • Points Scored: 29.1
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 281.8
  • Passing Yards: 169.2
  • Rushing Yards: 112.6

Super Bowl LIV Betting Trends for Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

  • 49ers are 6-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record
  • San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog
  • 49ers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall
  • Under is 4-1 in San Francisco’s last 5 playoff games
  • Chiefs are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games
  • Kansas City is 5-0 ATS versus a team with a winning record
  • Chiefs are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 as a favorite
  • Over is 7-2 in Chiefs 9 versus a team with a winning record

Chiefs vs 49ers Expert Analysis and Prediction

While we’re focusing on the outright winner of this matchup, I think it’s important to keep in mind that the 49ers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings against the Chiefs.Not only that, but when it comes to betting on the annual Super Bowl showdown, you should know that the point-spread rarely comes into play in the season-ending affair. Only six times in Super Bowl history has the favorite won the game straight up but failed to cover the chalk and that bodes well for the favored Chiefs heading into Super Bowl 54.The last time a favorite failed to cover the chalk but win outright was back in 2009 and that means the likelihood of the Chiefs failing to win and cover is relatively low. No one has really figured out how to contain Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City’s handful of explosive skill positions players and that’s why I’m picking the Chiefs to win outright in a thriller!Pick: Chiefs 31 49ers 27
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