Chiefs vs Jaguars 2019 NFL Week 1 Spread, Game Preview and Pick

Chiefs vs Jaguars 2019 NFL Week 1 Spread, Game Preview and Pick

Written by on September 4, 2019

The Kansas City Chiefs travel to Jacksonville to take on the Jaguars with a single goal in mind, Super Bowl LIV. Kansas City was oh so close to stamping their ticket to the Vince Lombardi Game in Patrick Mahomes first season as starting quarterback. The reigning NFL MVP hopes to improve off one of the best seasons in history in 2019. Will he start by dominating the Jags? Keep reading for the NFL odds, a preview, and a free pick for Chiefs vs Jaguars!

Chiefs vs Jaguars 2019 NFL Week 1 Spread, Game Preview and Pick

Why Kansas City Chiefs are a good bet -4?

Kansas City should have one of the top offenses in the NFL again. Even if Roger Goodell had suspended Tyreek Hill, the Chiefs would field one of the league’s top units. It starts with MVP Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes threw for 5,095 yards and 50 TD passes.

He’s got another target this season in Georgia rookie WR Mecole Hardman. Hardman can flat out fly ala Hill while TE Travis Kelce is the best in the NFL now that Gronk retired. Defensively, the Chiefs traded for DE Frank Clark. The Chiefs are a Super Bowl contender. They should win and cover in Week 1.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 425.6
  • Passing Yards: 309.7
  • Rushing Yards: 115.9
  • Points Scored: 35.3
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 405.5
  • Passing Yards: 273.4
  • Rushing Yards: 132.1
  • Points Allowed: 26.3

Why Jacksonville Jaguars are a good bet +4?

We forget that a couple of seasons ago the Jacksonville Jaguars were a Tom Brady final drive away from upsetting the New England Patriots and facing the Philadelphia Eagles in the Super Bowl. The Jags had a bad 2018 NFL Season.

Signs point to Jacksonville having a much better 2019 season. They signed Nick Foles away from Philly to play quarterback while the defense remains one of the best units in the league. If everything comes together, Jacksonville can challenge for the NFC South. They have a shot to at least cover versus the favored Chiefs in Week 1.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 302
  • Passing Yards: 194.3
  • Rushing Yards: 107.7
  • Points Scored: 15.3
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 311.4
  • Passing Yards: 194.6
  • Rushing Yards: 116.9
  • Points Allowed: 19.8

NFL Week 1 Betting Trends Chiefs vs Jaguars

  • Chiefs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in September
  • Chiefs are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 versus the AFC
  • Over is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 road games
  • Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September
  • Jaguars are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games in Week 1
  • Under is 7-1 in Jaguars last 8 games on grass

Chiefs vs Jaguars Final Betting Analysis

Jacksonville should be better than they are. One of the issues might be that the Jags don’t use all their pieces the right way. For example, they drafted Josh Allen, a terror for SEC quarterbacks in his final college football year, but want to change his game to play in a 4-3, instead of the stand up 3-4 he played in as a collegian.

Allen won’t even start on Sunday. Also, we’re not sure how well Foles adapts to the Jaguars offensive system. Those question marks make it difficult to land on the Jags to keep this game close. No defense can stop Mahomes and KC’s offense. If the Jaguars can’t score, they can’t keep it close.

NFL Free Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -4