Chiefs vs Patriots NFL Week 6 Odds & Expert Pick

Chiefs vs Patriots NFL Week 6 Odds & Expert Pick

Written by on October 11, 2018

On Sunday night, the Kansas City Chiefs head to New England for one of the most anticipated matchups this season. Undefeated Kansas City hopes to squash the Patriots’ dream of homefield advantage. Will the Chiefs do it? Check out the latest NFL Week 6 odds, analysis, and a free pick for Chiefs at Patriots!

Chiefs vs Patriots NFL Week 6 Odds & Expert Pick

  • When: Sunday, Oct. 14 at 8:20 pm ET
  • Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
  • TV: ESPN
  • Radio: Kansas City / New England
  • Live Stream: NFL Live
  • ATS Odds: New England -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under Total Odds: 59.5 (-110)

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 9°C/48°F
  • Humidity: 73%
  • Precipitation: 3%
  • Wind: 4 mph SW
  • Cloud Cover: 33%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why the Kansas City Chiefs are a good bet at +3.5?

The Chiefs are 5-0 against the spread this season for a reason. Up until Week 5, Kansas City has leaned on its excellent offense. Led by second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs average 35 points per game, ranking second in the NFL. Before Week 5, Mahomes hadn’t thrown an interception. He threw 2 versus Jacksonville.

Kansas City beat Jacksonville 30-14 even though Mahomes threw the picks. The Chiefs intercepted Jags’ quarterback Blake Bortles 4 times. Kansas City can lean on both units to beat the Patriots straight up on Sunday.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 35
  • Total Yards: 413
  • Pass Yards: 297.4
  • Rush Yards: 115.6
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 25.8
  • Total Yards: 461.8
  • Pass Yards: 343
  • Rush Yards: 118.8

Why New England Patriots are a good bet at -3.5?

Are the Patriots a safe bet for NFL Week 6?

New England’s offense and defense are finally back on track. The Patriots held Miami to 7 points in Week 4 before holding the Colts to only 24 points in Week 5.

Although the Chiefs should score around 24 points against the Patriots on Sunday night, New England should score close to 40. The Patriots pummeled Miami with 38 points in Week 4. They repeated the 38 outburst in Week 5.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 26.6
  • Total Yards: 357.4
  • Pass Yards: 244.4
  • Rush Yards: 113
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 21.6
  • Total Yards: 366
  • Pass Yards: 252
  • Rush Yards: 114

Chiefs vs Patriots NFL Week 6 Betting Trends

  • Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games on the road
  • New England is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games
  • New England is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England’s last 8 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Final NFL Betting Analysis for Chiefs vs Patriots

Kansas City beat Jacksonville, but it took 4 interceptions and a Bortles’ fumble for them to do it. KC won’t have as much luck against the New England Patriots.

Patriots’ coach Bill Belichick has spent the entire week studying how the Jaguars forced Mahomes into the two bad throws. He’ll allow Kansas City to move the football. Then, like Belichick’s done his entire career versus great offenses, he’ll hold the Chiefs to field goals.

Tom Brady’s hit his stride while wide receiver Josh Gordon could have a breakout game. The Patriots should cover the spread. It might not even be that close.

NFL Football Week 6 Pick: Patriots -3.5

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