Chiefs vs. Patriots: Week 4 Line and Betting Trends

Written by on October 1, 2020

The Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) are favored by a touchdown as they look to keep their three-game winning streak alive in a matchup with the New England Patriots (2-1) on Sunday, October 4, 2020 at Arrowhead Stadium. The point total is set at 53.5 for the contest.

Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 4, 2020
  • Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Kansas City, MO
  • Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium
Click here to place a bet on the Chiefs or the Patriots in their matchup on 10/4/2020.

Betting Information

Chiefs vs Patriots Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Chiefs -7.0 100 -120 53.5 -110 -110 -310 255

Chiefs Betting Insights

  • Kansas City’s games have gone under the point total in two out of three outings this season (66.7%).
  • Kansas City is 2-1 against the spread.
  • The Chiefs have a split ATS record of 1-1 when favored by at least 7.0 points.
  • The Chiefs, on average, score 8.3 more points per game this season (30.3) than the Patriots allow (22).
  • In games where Kansas City score at least 30.3 points this season, they are 2-0 overall and 2-0 against the spread.
  • When the New England defense allows 22 points or fewer this year, the Patriots have accumulated a 2-0 overall record and a 2-0 record against the spread.
Click here to bet on the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

Patriots Betting Insights

  • New England’s games have hit the over in two out of three outings this season (66.7%).
  • New England has a 2-1 record against the spread.
  • The Patriots are 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 7.0-point underdogs.
  • The Patriots have averaged nine more points this season (29) than the Chiefs have allowed (20).
  • When they meet or exceed their scoring average this season, New England is 1-1 and 1-1 against the spread.
  • When Kansas City allows opposing offenses to put 20 points or fewer on the scoreboard this year, they are 3-0 overall and 2-1 against the spread.
Click here to bet on the Patriots to win the Super Bowl

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Chiefs vs Patriots
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Patriots (+7) Under (53.5) Patriots 26 Chiefs 25

Total Facts

  • The Chiefs’ average point total in outings this year is 50.3, 3.2 points less than the total in this game.
  • The average total in Patriots games this year is 2.5 less points than the point total of 53.5 for this outing.
  • The Chiefs and their opponents have combined to record more than this matchup’s point total (53.5 points) in 66.7% of their games this season (two of three opportunities).
  • In two of three outings (66.7%) this season, New England and its opponents have combined to score at least 53.5 points.
  • The two teams average a combined 5.8 more points per game (59.3) than this game’s total of 53.5 points.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 11.5 less points per game (42) than this game’s over/under of 53.5 points.
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Chiefs vs Patriots: Last 5 Meetings

Kansas City has an edge against New England in the last five matchups between these two squads, collecting a 3-2 record in those games. The Chiefs are 1-0 against the spread in those games against the Patriots. Kansas City outscored New England 149-134 in those five head-to-head matchups.

Chiefs vs Patriots: Last Five Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
12/8/2019 Patriots Patriots -3 49 -157 +138 346-278 KC 23-16 KC
10/14/2018 N/A Patriots N/A N/A N/A N/A 500-446 NE 43-40 NE
9/7/2017 N/A Patriots N/A N/A N/A N/A 537-371 KC 42-27 KC
9/29/2014 N/A Chiefs N/A N/A N/A N/A 443-290 KC 41-14 KC
11/21/2011 N/A Patriots N/A N/A N/A N/A 34-3 NE

Injury Report

Chiefs: No Injuries Listed

Patriots: No Injuries Listed


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