Colts are Slight NFL Week 5 Odds Favorites Against 49ers.

Colts are Slight NFL Week 5 Odds Favorites Against 49ers

Written by on October 5, 2017

Is it really possible for a team to be considered out of the playoff picture after just 4 weeks of the NFL season? Mathematics will tell us that it is not possible, but the performances of a team through that period tell us all we need to know to make an educated guess. This weekend gives us a match-up between a pair of teams who are more than likely going to be on the outside looking in once the postseason begins but according to the NFL Week 5 Odds is going to be a close one. The Indianapolis Colts are 1-3 but have been a little more competitive than expected, especially since they are still without the services of QB Andrew Luck. Word is that Luck is getting close to a return, and a win here would keep the Colts hopes, no matter how slim, of a playoff spot alive. Indianapolis is in as a 1 ½ point favorite for this one, and the point total is set at 44 points. The San Francisco 49ers have yet to record a win on the season, which is hardly surprising when you consider that this is a team that is in full rebuild mode. They were never expected to be in the playoffs, and they are certainly living up to that expectation.

San Francisco at Indianapolis NFL Week 5 Odds, Preview & Pick

  • When: Sunday, October 8 at 1 PM EST
  • Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis
  • TV: FOX
  • Radio: 107.3 FM (Indianapolis) / 107.7 FM (San Francisco)
  • Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
  • NFL Week 5 Odds: Indianapolis Colts -1.5 (Over/Under at 44.5)

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 24°C/75°F
  • Humidity: 57%
  • Precipitation: 15%
  • Cloud Cover: 31%
  • Wind: 8 mph SSE
  • Stadium Type: Retractable

Eagles Are a Safe Betting Pick vs. Cardinals in Week 5’s NFL Odds

Recent Head to Head (Last 6 Games)

  • Record: Indianapolis 4-2
  • Score: San Francisco 19.17 / Indianapolis 23.83
  • Rush Yards: San Francisco 120.17 / Indianapolis 114.17
  • Pass Attempts: San Francisco 32.67 / Indianapolis 34.17
  • Completion Percentage: San Francisco 59.18 / Indianapolis 64.88
  • Passing Yards: San Francisco 177 / Indianapolis 251.67
  • Total Yards: San Francisco 297.17 / Indianapolis 365.84
  • Turnovers: San Francisco 2.33 / Indianapolis 1.50

Why bet on the San Francisco 49ers?

The San Francisco 49ers are a long way off from the team that dominated the NFL in the 1980’s, and while a front office shakeup took place in an attempt to return this team to former glory, it is going to take some time to get this sinking ship back afloat. While the 49ers are 0-4 to start this season, it should be noted that 3 of those 4 losses have been by 3 points or less, that’s why the NFL Week 5 Odds are so close. They were blown out by Carolina in Week 1, but have been in every game since, and are perhaps a little unfortunate to still be winless. It has been low scoring games that have been the order of the day for San Francisco, and the one time that they did manage to explode offensively, they still lost 41-39 to the LA Rams. The 49ers have had difficulty winning for a while now, and are an awful 1-11 in their last 12 games on the road. They are also just 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 road games. Not very much to like there.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For: 16.50
  • Total Yards: 297.75
  • Rush Yards: 104.50
  • Passing Yards: 193.25
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 23.50
  • Total Yards: 346.25
  • Rush Yards: 106
  • Passing Yards: 240.25

Why bet on the Indianapolis Colts?

The loss of Andrew Luck to a shoulder injury has had the negative impact we expected on this team, but backup QB Jacoby Brissett should be given some credit. He was the man under center in the only win that the Colts have recorded this season, and he kept his team competitive for close to here quarters in a loss on the road to Seattle last week. Brissett is certainly no Andrew Luck, but he has a mobility and arm strength that could cause some real problems for the 49ers defense, one of the reasons they are the NFL Week 5 Odds favorites. The Colts are NFL Week 5 Odds favorites against the 49ers. The Colts have had to endure a couple of blowouts this season, and their lone win came against a very poor Cleveland Browns team, but it’s also fair to suggest that these 49ers might be on a par with the Browns, which means the Colts have a legitimate shot this weekend. The Colts are 2-2 ATS this season, and 6 of their last 7 home games have gone UNDER the point total.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For: 17.75
  • Total Yards: 265.75
  • Rush Yards: 85.25
  • Passing Yards: 180.50
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 34
  • Total Yards: 396.25
  • Rush Yards: 112.75
  • Passing Yards: 283.50

Latest NFL Week 5 Betting Trends

  • The 49ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
  • The 49ers are 6-12-1 ATS in their last 19 games
  • Total has gone OVER in 12 of San Francisco’s last 18 games on the road
  • Colts are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Colts are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis’s last 6 games

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I believe that we are looking at a game that is not going to feature a lot of offense, which is why I am leaning towards the UNDER 44 for this one. I also like the Colts to get the win and to cover the spread. Score: San Francisco 49ers 13 – Indianapolis Colts 20