Can Improving Buccaneers Take Down Desperate Colts in NFL Betting Bout?

Posted by Daniel Strum on November 28, 2015 in

Rookie quarterback Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will look to pull off their third straight NFL betting upset when they visit 40-year-old veteran signal-caller Matt Hasselbeck and the ‘desperate’ Indianapolis Colts on Sunday. Along with Tom Brady and Cam Newton, Hasselbeck is the only other quarterback with at least three starts to have not lost a game this season. Now, let’s find out which team will win and cash in!

Tampa Bay @ Indianapolis NFL Betting Game Information and Odds

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 29, 2015
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX
NFL Odds: Colts -3
O/U: 46.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS)

Tampa Bay has won two in a row and never looked better this season than they did in laying an emphatic 45-17 smackdown on the reeling Eagles in Week 11 to easily cash in as a 7-point road dog.

Winston tied an NFL rookie record by tossing a whopping five touchdowns in the win.”He’s playing good ball, making all the right decisions, no one works harder than him,” coach Lovie Smith said. “Whatever you’re looking for, for the guy that’s out in front, he’s doing and he’s doing it well.”


Veteran running back Doug Martin rushed for a stunning 235 yards on 27 carries just one week after the Bucs shut down Dallas in a low-scoring 10-6 win.“You talk about great running back, what do they have? Vision, instincts to know when to make a move,” Buccaneers coach Lovie Smith told reporters of Martin. “That’s what he’s been doing. … I think he’s kind of showed us everything a great running back should show people on a weekly basis.”

“Anything is possible,” Winston said. “We’ve worked hard since training camp, since OTAs, it’s in our hands.”

Indianapolis Colts (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS)

The Colts have also won two consecutive games and comes into this matchup off a hard-fought 24-21 win over Atlanta in Week 11 as 3.5-point road underdogs.


Matt Hasselbeck completed 23 of 32 passes for 213 yards with two touchdowns ad two interceptions. Defensively, Indy picked off Matt Ryan three times. Surprisingly, the ageless Hasselbeck says he’s been seeking advice from the younger Andrew Luck.“I pleaded with him, sort of begged him, ‘Hey, even though you’re hurt and you’re not with us, I need you to be with us,’” Hasselbeck told reporters. “He said, ‘Absolutely.’ I anticipate that he’ll be very helpful (and) my goal is really just to kind of hold the fort down until he gets back.”

Indianapolis will also be without starting left tackle Anthony Castonzo, who suffered an MCL sprain in the fourth quarter at Atlanta, almost assuredly brining his streak of 66 consecutive starts to an abrupt end.”You hate to lose anybody, especially your starting left tackle,” coach Chuck Pagano said. “Quarterback one week, now your left tackle. You hate it, too, because he don’t miss (games). I think maybe he missed a couple of games his first year, but that’s it.”

Colts vs Buccaneers NFL Betting Game Analysis:

I’m absolutely shocked that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are favored to beat Indy in this contest, even at home. Equally surprising is the fact that 53 percent of the betting public likes the Buccaneers to get the ATS win.

Still, I’m going to urge you to back the more experienced Indianapolis Colts to get the win out of sheer desperation if nothing else. I know the Buccaneers are improving quickly under Lovie Smith, but I also believe the Colts won’t blow an opportunity to move above .500 for the first time since early October. While Tampa Bay has gone 5-1 ATS in their last six road games, Tampa Bay is also 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following an SU win.

On the flip side of the coin, Indianapolis has gone 5-0 ATS in their last five games in the month of November and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Colts are also 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an SU win. The Colts will win and cover the spread with just a bit of room to spare.

My Pick: Indianapolis 24 Tampa Bay 20