Cowboys vs 49ers 2019 NFL Preseason Week 1 Lines, Analysis & Pick

Written by on August 9, 2019

The Dallas Cowboys will be looking to take the next step in their evolution as a legitimate Super Bowl contender in 2019 after reaching the playoffs last season and recording just their third playoff win since 1996. While San Francisco doesn’t have any real Super Bowl hopes heading into 2019, the Niners would like nothing better than to record their first wining season in Year 3 of the Kyle Shanahan era. Now, let’s find out which one of these NFC Super Bowl longshots is offering the best value in their Week 1 NFL preseason opener when It gets underway live from Levi’s Stadium in San Francisco on Saturday night.

Cowboys vs 49ers 2019 NFL Preseason Week 1 Lines, Analysis & Pick

Weather Forecast

  • Sunny: 23°C/74°F
  • Humidity: 59%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 17 mph NNW
  • Cloud Cover: 11%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On Dallas at +3.5?

The Cowboys went 10-6 a year ago to win the NFC East by one game over Philadelphia. The Boys beat Seattle in the wild card round before falling to the rams in the divisional round. While the Cowboys were outstanding in ranking sixth in points allowed (20.3 ppg), they also struggled to put points on the board in finishing an uninspiring 22nd in scoring (21.2 ppg).

The bad news right now is that star running back Ezekiel Elliott is holding out in hopes of getting a new deal and seeing as how he is the driving force behind Dallas’ offense, the Cowboys could be in trouble if he misses any regular season action. The good news however is that the Boys will have gifted wide receiver Amari Cooper for an entire season after acquiring the former Raiders star after Week 6. In addition to that, Dallas will also have veteran tight end Jason Witten back on the field after a one-year retirement last season.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 21.39
  • Total Yards: 343.83
  • Pass Yards: 222.83
  • Rush Yards: 121.00
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 20.89
  • Total Yards: 334.78
  • Pass Yards: 231.50
  • Rush Yards: 103.28

Why Bet On San Francisco at -3.5?

The 49ers are coming off a pitiful 4-12 season in 2018, but their failures are understandable, seeing as how starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo went down with a season-ending ACL tear in Week 3. Still, the Niners need to improve in a big way after finishing last season ranked 21st in scoring (21.4 ppg) and a woeful 28th in points allowed (27.2 ppg).

To address their issues on the defensive side of the ball, Frisco drafted former Ohio State defensive end Nick Bosa with the second overall pick in the draft while adding former Buccaneers linebacker Kwon Alexander in free agency. On the offensive side of the ball, the Niners drafted former South Carolina wideout Deebo Samuel with the 36th overall pick and former Baylor wide receiver Jalen Hurd with the 67th overall pick.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 21.38
  • Total Yards: 360.57
  • Pass Yards: 241.69
  • Rush Yards: 118.88
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 27.19
  • Total Yards: 346.13
  • Pass Yards: 232.75
  • Rush Yards: 113.38

Cowboys vs 49ers NFL Preseason Week 1 Betting Trends

  • Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 games against an opponent in the NFC West division
  • Cowboys are 8-2 SU in the last 10 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’ last 6 games
  • San Francisco are 5-13 ATS in the last 18 games
  • San Francisco are 4-15 SU in the last 19 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 6 games against an opponent in the NFC East division

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Cowboys vs 49ers

With starting quarterback Dak Prescott sitting this one out, the Cowboys will turn to backups Cooper Rush and Mike White to get the win in this one while Frisco goes with backup Nick Mullens and third-stringer C.J. Beathard. Dallas has gone 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall while Frisco has gone 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games. However, I don’t think the trends surrounding this matchup won’t matter much seeing as how this is a preseason contest that almost certainly means a lot more to the Niners than the more established Cowboys.

I have no idea why Cooper Rush is on anyone’s NFL roster from what I’ve seen, but Frisco’s Nick Mullens shined in several starts a year ago after supplanting C.J. Beathard as the backup-turned starter in Jimmy G’s absence. I’m going with Frisco to get the big home win and narrow ATS cover in this one, mostly because I expect them to play their starters on both sides of the ball a bit more than Dallas does in this one.

Pick: San Francisco -3.5