Denver at Tennessee Odds, Expert Pick & TV Info

Posted by Michael Hunt on Thursday,December 8, 2016 8:00, EST in

Very important game for AFC playoff positioning on Sunday from Nashville — certainly the most relevant Titans game in years — as Denver visits Tennessee. The Broncos currently hold down the AFC’s final wild-card spot, while the Titans are in a three-way tie for first in the AFC South. Let’s see who’s favorite in the NFL odds.

Denver at Tennessee Odds, Expert Pick & TV Info

When: Sunday, Dec. 11, 1 PM ET
Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville
TV: CBS
Radio: Denver / Tennessee
Stream Option: NFL Live
Opening NFL Lines: Titans -1 (43.,5)

Why Bet on Denver?

Last week, cornerback Bradley Roby had a 51-yard interception-return touchdown – his second INT-TD this season – in Denver’s 20-10 win at Jacksonville. Roby picked off Blake Bortles’ wobbler across the middle in the third quarter — star linebacker Von Miller hit Bortles as he released the ball — and went untouched the other way. It was one of three turnovers for Denver’s defense.

The Broncos played without quarterback Trevor Siemian, who missed the game with a sprained left foot. Rookie Paxton Lynch made his second career start and first on the road. He didn’t even throw for 110 yards. The Broncos scored all 20 points with help from Jacksonville, including two turnovers and two 15-yard penalties. Broncos outside linebacker Von Miller was officially credited Wednesday with a sack, and forced fumble, for his fourth quarter play against the Jaguars. Miller now has 13.5 sacks and leads the league.

Siemian (foot) returned to a limited practice Wednesday and it’s looking good for him to return. Siemian will wear an orthotic in his shoe during practices and games to help with his injured foot. But linebacker Brandon Marshall (hamstring) is expected to miss Week 14 against the Titans. In addition, the team placed emerging Kapri Bibbs on injured reserve with a high ankle sprain, ending his season. The Broncos will move forward with Justin Forsett, just picked up this week, as their No. 2 back behind shaky starter Devontae Booker. The Broncos are growing frustrated with Booker’s lack of decisiveness and inability to generate positive gains. He has averaged just 2.80 yards per carry over the last five games.

Why Bet on Tennessee?

The Titans, who had a bye in Week 13, are tied with Houston and Indianapolis for first place in the AFC South. Quarterback Marcus Mariota, who was named the AFC Offensive Player of the Month in November, has thrown multiple touchdown passes in eight consecutive games, totaling 21 touchdowns, three interceptions and a 117.7 passer rating during that span.

Mariota’s 81.3 Total QBR from inside the pocket is third-best in the NFL this season. Last season, he ranked 26th from inside the pocket (52.2 Total QBR). That 29.1 point improvement is best in the NFL the last two seasons. Mariota’s improved play from inside the pocket has allowed him to stretch the field.

Mariota has tripled his completions and touchdowns 20+ yards downfield from last season. Four times this season the Titans have had a chance to break above .500, and four times they’ve lost. The Broncos are tough on the passing game, but the Titans could have success on the ground. The Broncos defense leads the league in pass defense and sacks. But if the group has had an issue at times, it has been in run defense where the Broncos are 28th in the league, having allowed 124.8 rushing yards per game. Five of the Broncos’ previous 12 opponents have rushed for at least 140 yards against the Broncos.

Coach Mike Mularkey said Monday the Titans have discussed using Derrick Henry in more short-yardage situations. The Titans have ridden DeMarco Murray hard this season and would be smart to begin incorporating Henry, who has put together a 70-312- 2 (4.46 YPC) rushing line while averaging 9.7 yards per passing-game target. Henry is particularly built for short-yardage situations at 6-foot- 2 and 247 pounds.

Denver at Tennessee Expert Pick: Tennessee Titans

Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Sorry, trends, I don’t agree with you. Go Titans on NFL odds and under.