Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers ATS Betting Preview

Posted by Eric Williams on Tuesday,January 12, 2016 3:19, EST in

I came to get down,
I came to get down
So get out your seats and jump around
Jump around, jump around, jump around
Jump up, jump up and get down.
 – House of Pain

If you’re looking to cash in on the ATS betting winner of Sunday’s intriguing divisional throw-down between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Denver Broncos, be prepared to ‘jump around’ just like the aforementioned lyrics from old-school rap group, House of Pain.

You see, when these two AFC Super Bowl hopefuls square off in one of the more interesting matchups on the entire divisional round docket, you’re going to be well-armed with a great ATS pick that will help you in your efforts to boost the annual NFL betting bankroll before the conclusion of the 2015-16 season.

With all of that said, let’s rock and roll!

How To Bet The Pittsburgh Steelers vs Denver Broncos Odds & TV Info

What: Pittsburgh Steeler at Denver Broncos
When: 4:40 PM ET, Sunday, January 17, 2016
Where: Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado
NFL Odds: Denver -6.5
Over/Under: 41

The NFL Odds for this divisional matchup have the Broncos as 6.5-point home favorites to beat the visiting Steelers while the game’s Over/Under Total is off the board at most books but sits at 41 at others, likely because of injuries to Pittsburgh’s Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown. The Broncos are a -250 favorite against the Moneyline while the Steelers can be had at +210.

Why Bet The Pittsburgh Steelers Odds at +6.5

The Steelers have a future Hall of Fame quarterback, an explosive passing attack that fuels their high-scoring offense, a great head coach and a defense that is playing their best football of the season. Those are all of the legitimate reasons to back the Steelers to beat the Denver Broncos this coming Sunday.

What could hold the Steelers back however is the fact that starting quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has a bum shoulder and super elite wide receiver Antonio Brown could miss this game altogether because of the cheap-shot he endured in Pittsburgh’s wild card win over Cincinnati.

The Steelers will also have to monitor the health of veteran running back DeAngelo Williams who missed last weekend’s win with a high ankle sprain.

Why Bet The Denver Broncos Odds at -6.5

The Denver Broncos have the game’s best defense this season, a future Hall of Fame quarterback, a well-respected head coach and will be playing at home in this AFC divisional date.

Those are all of the wonderful reasons to back the Broncos to bring home the bacon in this matchup, but there are a couple of negatives as well.

First and foremost, Peyton Manning may be going into the Hall of Fame at some point in the near future, but he’s also been a career underachiever in the postseason and one that has never won a playoff game played outdoors in which the game-time kickoff temperature was 40 degrees or colder.

Unfortunately for the Broncos, the current prediction for Sunday’s weather forecast is calling for a high temperature in Denver of 33 degrees. The Broncos also have a mediocre offense that ranked in the middle third in all four major statistical categories, including scoring (22.2 ppg, 19th). Denver has reached the 30-point plateau just once in their last six games and twice all season long.

broncos-quarterback-peyton-manning

Expert Betting Pick & Final Score Prediction

I’m not particularly fond of the 6.5-points the Broncos are giving up and I can fully understand why 51 percent of the betting public likes the Steelers to at least cover the ATS spread.

Having said that, I’m going ‘the other way’ with my pick on this AFC divisional showdown by backing the broncos to get the win and narrow ATS cover.

The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five divisional playoffs games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games, but Pittsburgh has also gone 1-3-1 ATS in their L/5 games following an SU win and 0-3-1 ATS in their last four playoff road games.

The Broncos have gone1-4 ATS in their last five home playoff games and 0-4 ATS in their L/4 divisional playoffs games, but Denver is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss and a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings against the Steelers. Denver wins and narrowly covers against the banged-up Steelers.

My final score prediction is Denver 27 Pittsburgh 20