Denver Heads Into Week 3 as Favorite NFL Betting Pick Against Buffalo

Denver Heads Into Week 3 as Favorite NFL Betting Pick Against Buffalo

Written by on September 21, 2017

The Denver Broncos will look to remain unbeaten when they hit the road for their Week 3 match-up against the ‘new-look’ Buffalo Bills. Denver looked absolutely outstanding in their Week 2 win, one of the reasons they stand like a safe NFL Betting Pick for Week 3. Meanwhile, Buffalo put up a great effort before losing a heartbreaker in Carolina.Now, let’s find out where the value in this all-AFC duel lies when it goes down live from New Era Field on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET while airing live on CBS television.

Denver Broncos (2-0) at Buffalo Bills (1-1) Game Info & NFL Betting Preview

When: September 24, 2017 at 1:00 PM ETWhere: New Era FieldTV: CBSRadio: KOA 850 AM (Denver) / WCMF 96.5 FM (Buffalo)Live Stream: NFL Game PassNFL Odds: Denver -2.5Total: 41

Series History

  • Total Meetings: 37
  • First Meeting: Broncos 27 – Bills 21 (1960)
  • Last Meeting: Bills 17 – Broncos 24 (2014)
  • All-Time Series: Bills lead 20-16-1
  • Largest Margin of Victory: Broncos +30 points
  • Longest Win Streak: Bills W9
  • Current Win Streak: Broncos W1

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Why is Denver a Safe NFL Betting Pick?

The Denver Broncos are looking like a great wager after dominating the Dallas Cowboys on both sides of the ball in their 42-17 Week 2 win as blossoming quarterback Trevor Siemian completed 22 of 32 passes for 231 yards with four TD strikes and just one interception while running back C.J. Anderson rushed for 118 yards and one score.Siemian is tied for the league lead in touchdown passes with six.“I had the chance to go against Trevor a year ago when I was with the Panthers in the opening game of the year,” first-year Bills head coach Sean McDermott said. “I was impressed with him then, and he continues to be impressed today. He knows where to go with the football based on coverage looks. He gets in and out of plays at the line. He’s efficient. They’re very efficient that way.”Denver is ranked a stellar fourth in total defense (258.5 ypg), third against the run (52.0 ypg) and an impressive fourth in point allowed (19.0 ppg), more reasons to be consider like a safe NFL betting pick.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 33
  • Total Yards: 350.5
  • Rush Yards: 159
  • Passing Yards: 191.5
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 19
  • Total Yards: 258.5
  • Rush Yards: 52
  • Passing Yards: 206.5

Why is Buffalo a Safe NFL Betting Pick?

The Buffalo Bills failed to score a touchdown in their humbling Week 2 loss against Carolina. Veteran quarterback Tyrod Taylor completed 17 of 25 passes for 125 yards while rushing eight times for a team-high 55 yards. Unfortunately, the Bills saw Pro Bowl running back LeSean McCoy limited to just nine yards on a dozen carries, although he did add six catches for 34 yards in the loss.“Last week was just a case where we didn’t get the running game going,” Taylor said of the Bills’ typical potent running attack. “That’s not going to be the case every week.”The Bills lost the time of possession battle against the Panthers in a big way by keeping possession by keeping the ball for just over 21 minutes.Bills don't look like a safe NFL Betting Pick against the Broncos.“We need to just stay true to our keys and our identity,” McCoy said. “If we get back in points and we’re down, just stay with it. The Cowboys kind of went to the passing game so early because they stopped (Elliott) a few times in the running game and they got down on points.Buffalo may be without defensive end Shaq Lawson for this affair (foot), along with defensive tackle Marcell Dareus (ankle) and offensive tackle Cordy Glenn (foot).

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 12
  • Total Yards: 292
  • Rush Yards: 129.5
  • Passing Yards: 162.5
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 10.5
  • Total Yards: 234.5
  • Rush Yards: 57.5
  • Passing Yards: 177

Expert Analysis and NFL Betting Pick

The Buffalo Bills smacked the lowly New York Jets around in their 21-12 win in Week 1 and they played well defensively in their 9-3 Week 2 loss against the Carolina Panthers and they’re simply not going to be able to score enough points against a Denver Broncos defense that completely shut down the Dallas Cowboys and Ezekiel Elliott in their statement-making blowout on Sunday.The Broncos are a near-perfect 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games in the month of September and a robust 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Conversely, the Bills are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against their AFC rivals and 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record. Denver has won 16 of its last 23 games overall and six of its last eight meetings against the Bills and will bag the win and ATS cover in this Week 3 matchup!Pick: Denver -2.5

Latest NFL Betting Trends

  • Denver is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Denver is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver’s last 7 games on the road
  • Buffalo is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Buffalo’s last 14 games
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