Dolphins at Packers NFL Week 10 Lines & Expert Pick

Dolphins at Packers NFL Week 10 Lines & Expert Pick

Written by on November 8, 2018

Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers will be in all-out desperation mode when they host Brock Osweiler and the visiting Miami Dolphins in an intriguing Week 10 Inter-Conference clash that will likely go a long way in determining both teams’ postseason chances and Green Bay’s in particular. If you’re want to know if Rodgers and the Packers can, not only get the SU win at home, but cover the spread as near double-digit home favorites, then let’s get to my expert NFL betting pick right now.

Dolphins at Packers NFL Week 10 Lines & Expert Pick

Weather Forecast

  • Mostly Cloudy: 2°C/35°F
  • Humidity: 60%
  • Precipitation: 22%
  • Wind: 7 mph SSW
  • Cloud Cover: 65%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On The Miami Dolphins?

Why should you consider betting on Miami in this week 10 matchup?  Well, there are several good reasons, starting with the fact that, at 5-4, Miami should have plenty of motivation to make a run at the playoffs. The Fins are coming off a hard-fought 13-6 win at home over the Jets last weekend, so they’ll enter this contest with some confidence as well. The best reason to back Miami however might be because the Packers are pretty bad on defense this season and mostly mediocre on offense in ranking 21st in points allowed (25.5 ppg) and a modest 14th in scoring (24.0 ppg).

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 20.78
  • Total Yards: 315.78
  • Pass Yards: 212.67
  • Rush Yards: 103.11
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 25
  • Total Yards: 394
  • Pass Yards: 257.89
  • Rush Yards: 136.11

Why Bet On The Green Bay Packers?

Are the Packers a safe bet for NFL Week 10?

Why should you consider betting on Green Bay in this week 10 Inter-Conference clash? Well, there’s the fact that the Packers are playing at home and are always tough to beat at Lambeau Field. Then there’s the fact that the Packers will have the best player on the field in superstar quarterback Aaron Rodgers, combined with the fact that Miami’s Brock Osweiler doesn’t come close to being the kind of quarterback Rodgers is. Last but not least, Green Bay is completely and utterly desperate to keep their slim postseason hopes alive in the competitive NFC after suffering a humbling 31-17 road loss to New England on Sunday night.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 24
  • Total Yards: 406.55
  • Pass Yards: 300.88
  • Rush Yards: 105.75
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 25.50
  • Total Yards: 352.37
  • Pass Yards: 232.75
  • Rush Yards: 119.62

Dolphins at Packers NFL Week 10 Betting Trends

  • Miami is 2-4 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Miami is 2-4 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games on the road
  • Green Bay is 3-8 ATS in the last 11 games
  • Green Bay is 3-7-1 SU in the last 11 games
  • The total went OVER in 10 of Green Bay’s last 14 games

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Dolphins at Packers

While both teams in this affair allow right around 25.0 points per game defensively, Green Bay averages almost four points per game more than Miami, plus, (let’s be honest for a moment) Aaron Rodgers is so much better than Miami’s Brock Osweiler that it’s not even funny.

Prior to their Week 9 win over the rebuilding Jets, Miami suffered an 11-point home loss against Detroit and a 19-point road loss at Houston. Maybe it’s me, but I see another double-digit road loss coming against Rodgers and the Packers, even though it’s clear that Green Bay is not a legitimate Super Bowl contender.

Green Bay has gone 11-4-1 SU in their last 16 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Week 10 games. Miami is 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games in November while also going 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games. I say keep it simple and back Aaron Rodgers and company to get the big double-digit win at home to cover the chalk as a slightly more than touchdown home favorite.

NFL Week 10 Pick: Packers 35 Dolphins 23
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