Falcons at Steelers NFL Week 5 Odds & Betting Analysis

Falcons at Steelers NFL Week 5 Odds & Betting Analysis

Written by on October 2, 2018

Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons may have taken a couple of heartbreaking losses on the chin the last two weeks, but the NFC South playoff hopefuls look like they’re having a dream season when compared to the early-season struggles of Ben Roethlisberger and the stumbling Pittsburgh Steelers. Now, with both teams looking to get back in the win column in their intriguing NFL Week 5 Inter-Conference clash, let’s find out which one is offering the best value against their NFL betting odds.

Falcons at Steelers NFL Week 5 Odds & Betting Analysis

  • When: Sunday, October 7 at 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: Heinz Filed, Pittsburgh, PA
  • TV: FOX
  • Radio: Atlanta / Pittsburgh
  • Live Stream: NFL Live
  • NFL Week 5 Odds: Pittsburgh -4 / Total: 56

Weather Forecast

  • Chance of Thunderstorm: 25°C/77°F
  • Humidity: 77%
  • Precipitation: 35%
  • Wind: 5 mph SSW
  • Cloud Cover: 51%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet on the Atlanta Falcons?

Matt Ryan completed 29 of 39 passes for 419 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions, but it wasn’t enough as the Falcons ended up on the wrong end of a crushing 37-36 loss against Cincinnati on Sunday. The loss comes one week after Atlanta suffered an equally hurtful 43-37 overtime loss  against New Orleans in Week 3. Falcons head coach Dan Quinn said his team lacks the instinct needed “to close the door” with a lead. “We’re going to develop that instinct,” he said. “We do not have it as we need it right now.” Ryan, the 2016 league MVP, has thrown a whopping eight TD passes in his last two games after throwing just 20 touchdown passes in 2017. While Matt Ryan and the offense are averaging a stellar 29.0 points per game to rank sixth in scoring, the Falcons and their completely injury-riddled defense are ranked a pitiful 29th in points allowed (30.5 ppg).

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 29
  • Total Yards: 410.75
  • Pass Yards: 314.75
  • Rush Yards: 96
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 30.50
  • Total Yards: 403
  • Pass Yards: 284
  • Rush Yards: 119

Why Bet on the Pittsburgh Steelers?

Are the Steelers a safe bet for NFL Week 5? One week after putting some of their ongoing drama to bed with a huge win over Tampa Bay, the Steelers got completely overpowered in their humbling 26-14 home loss against Baltimore on Sunday night. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has an awful night by completing just 27 of 47 passes for 274 yards with one touchdown and one interception. The Steelers were held to just 19 total rushing yards in the loss while allowing Joe Flacco to throw for 363 yards and two touchdowns. “I’m not on the same page with anybody right now,” the Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback said when asked whether he’s on the same page with star receiver Antonio Brown. The offense was limited to a mind-boggling 2 minutes and 40 seconds of possession in a fourth quarter that Baltimore completely dominated. “We gotta make it happen,” veteran wide receiver Antonio Brown said. The Steelers are ranked an uninspiring 25th in points allowed (29.0 ppg), but a solid 11th in scoring 925.0 ppg).

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 25.50
  • Total Yards: 411
  • Pass Yards: 338.75
  • Rush Yards: 72.25
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 29
  • Total Yards: 420.50
  • Pass Yards: 304.75
  • Rush Yards: 115.75

Falcons at Steelers NFL Week 5 Betting Trends

  • Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta’s last 11 games
  • Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Pittsburgh is 11-4-1 SU in its last 16 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games

NFL Betting Prediction Falcons at Steelers

Atlanta may have suffered back-to-back hurtful losses and their defense may have more holes than Swiss cheese right now, but I’m going to urge you to back the Falcons for one simple reason.  Atlanta is putting points on the board like they did in 2016 when they led the league in scoring. Combine Atlanta’s offensive prowess with Pittsburgh’s suddenly lackluster defense and I believe you have the makings of a high-scoring Falcons road win. While Atlanta has gone 1-4 ATS in their last five road games, the Falcons are also 4-2 ATS in their last six games against Pittsburgh while the Steelers have gone 1-4 ATS in its last five games. I like Atlanta to cover the chalk as a slightly more than field goal road dog by getting the outright road win in an absolute shootout. NFL Week 5 Pick: Falcons 31 Steelers 28