One of the toughest things to achieve in the NFL is a high level of consistency over a period of years. We are in the time of big money and free agency moves, a time where loyalty to a single team really doesn’t exist anymore. With that in mind, it really is amazing just how good the New England Patriots have been over the last 10-15 years, as they always seem to find a way to reload and win again, although having the best QB ever to play the game certainly helps the cause.
While we expect rollercoaster rides from every team, there are some who just can’t ever seem to get it right. The Cleveland Browns may be about to shake that label, while the Jacksonville Jaguars might be about to slide back into mediocrity. This is a team that was a single defensive play away from making the Super Bowl 2 years ago, but who followed that up with a 5-11 season last year. They look to be in trouble this coming season and will close out their preseason schedule with a home game against the Atlanta Falcons with the NFL Odds slightly favoring them.
Falcons vs Jaguars NFL Preseason Week 4 Odds, Analysis & Expert Pick
- When: Thursday, August 29 at 7 PM EST
- Where: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville
- TV: NFL Network
- Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
- Radio: SiriusXM/NFL
- NFL Preseason Week 4 Odds: Jacksonville Jaguars -4.5 (Total 32.5)
Why bet on the Atlanta Falcons?
It has not been a preseason to remember for the Atlanta Falcons. While their preseason record shows them to be 0-3, they are actually one game worse off than that, as they also lost in the Hall of Fame Game prior to the start of the preseason schedule. The offense has sputtered rather badly during that 4-game losing skid, although it should be noted that their big play guys have seen very little of the field during those 4 games.
They have averaged just 15 PPG during the preseason, so they will be looking to get into a little bit of a groove in this final game. One thing to consider here is that the Falcons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 20 games versus an AFC opponent. They are also just 4-9 SU in their last 13 meetings with Jacksonville.
Team Stats (Offense)
- Points per Game: 19.33
- Passing Yards: 194.67
- Rushing Yards: 102.67
- Turnovers: 1.00
Why bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars?
If you want to talk about offensive woes in the preseason, look no further than the Jacksonville Jaguars. This is a team that has always seemed to struggle on the offensive side of the football, but they have hit a new low this preseason, managing just 7.7 PPG through their first 3 games.
There was a sense that the Jaguars were not going to be very good this season, with that feeling very much reinforced over the past 3 weeks. The UNDER certainly seems to be the way to go when this team takes the field, with each of their last 6 games going that route. It has been the same story when facing the Falcons, with 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two going UNDER.
Team Stats (Offense)
- Points per Game: 17.83
- Passing Yards: 203.17
- Rushing Yards: 125.50
- Turnovers: 1.00
Falcons vs Jaguars NFL Preseason Week 4 Betting Trends
- Falcons are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games against Jacksonville
- Falcons are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
- Jaguars are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games played in August
- Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Thursday
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville’s last 5 games at home
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Falcons vs Jaguars
At time of writing, the odds for this game had yet to be posted. I would keep an eye on it, though, and wait to see what the point total is set at. This looks like one that is destined to be on the lower end of the scoring scale.
Score: Atlanta Falcons 17 – Jacksonville Jaguars 9