Indianapolis at Green Bay Lines, Pick & TV Info

Posted by Michael Hunt on Friday,November 4, 2016 5:10, EST in

The 2016 NFL exhibition season was supposed to begin with Indianapolis facing Green Bay in the Hall of Fame Game in Canton, Ohio. But because of field issues, it was canceled. The two play a game that matters on Sunday as Andrew Luck and Aaron Rodgers square off for the second time as professionals. The Packers are NFL betting favorites.

Indianapolis at Green Bay Lines, Pick & TV Info

When: Sunday, Nov. 6, 4:25 PM ET
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay
TV: CBS
Radio: Indianapolis / Green Bay
Stream Option: NFL Live
Opening NFL Lines: Packers -7 (54)

Why Bet on Indianapolis?

The Colts (3-5) lost 30-14 at home to Kansas City last week. Luck was 19 of 35 with 210 yards, two touchdowns, one interception, one fumble lost on a day his top receiver T.Y. Hilton caught only one pass. The Colts began the game without three starters and got hit even harder during the game. Pro Bowl cornerback Vontae Davis and right tackle Joe Reitz both left with concussions and did not return.

Hilton returned after hurting his hamstring but wasn’t the same. Davis is questionable this week. Colts offensive coordinator Rob Chudzinski said he “absolutely” wants to get Frank Gore more touches this week. Gore was limited to a season-low nine carries in Week 8, though he scored his fifth touchdown of the season.

Luck won his only career start against Green Bay (October 7, 2012) and threw the game-winning touchdown pass to Reggie Wayne with 35 seconds remaining. Indianapolis kicker Adam Vinatieri has converted 43 consecutive field-goal attempts, the longest streak in NFL history.

Indy comes into Lambeau allowing the second-most passing yards per game in the league. Following Sunday, the Colts will have their bye week before playing two home games in five days coming out of the bye (11/20-Tenensee, 11/24-Pittsburgh). The Colts have repeatedly squandered their chance to get ahead in the division by not taking advantage of the soft part of their schedule. Three of their five losses have come against teams that have a .500 record or worse.

Why Bet on Green Bay?

Rodgers has thrown for seven touchdowns and no interceptions the last two weeks, despite having virtually no running game to rely on and dealing with injuries to several key pass catchers. With injuries to lead backs Eddie Lacy and James Starks (both remain out), the Packers have basically but thrown out the running game portion of their offensive playbook. Instead, Rodgers has tossed 94 passes the past two weeks, completing more than 70 percent of them.

Fifteen Packers have caught a pass, the most by a team in the NFL this season. WR Davante Adams has 25 receptions in the past two weeks. The Colts allow the second-most passing yards per game in the league (288).

Last week in a 33-32 loss to Atlanta, Rodgers threw four touchdown passes, his 18th career game with at least four touchdown passes. Rodgers surpassed Hall of Famer Johnny Unitas (17) for the sixth-most games with at least four touchdown passes in NFL history.

Green Bay linebacker Julius Peppers registered a sack last week, bringing his career total to 139.5. With 2.5 sacks on Sunday against Indianapolis, Peppers would pass Hall of Famer Michael Strahan (141.5) for the fifth-most sacks since sacks became an official statistic in 1982.

Sunday will be the Colts’ first trip to Green Bay since 2008. Five of the last seven matchups between Green Bay and Indianapolis have been decided by seven or fewer points. The Packers have won three consecutive home games against Indianapolis. The Colts last won at Lambeau Field in 1988.

Two of the Packers’ three losses this season have been on the road by a combined four points. Sunday will be the Packers’ last home game until Dec. 4, when the Houston Texans come to town.

My Expert Pick

Colts are 0-3- 1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 9-3 in Colts last 12 games in November.

Take the Packers in NFL betting and go over the total.