Indianapolis at Houston Betting Pick & Spread

Posted by Eric Williams on October 13, 2016 in

The Indianapolis Colts will look to record consecutive victories for the first time this season while the Houston Texans look to rebound from their humbling Week 5 loss when the two AFC South division rivals square off at NRG Stadium on Sunday. Now, let’s find out which team is offering the best NFL lines for this matchup.

Let’s Check Out the Indianapolis at Houston Betting Pick, Spread & TV Info

When: Sunday, October 16 2016 at 8:30 PM ET
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston
Radio: Indianapolis / Houston
Live Stream: NFL Live
NFL Odds: Houston -3
Over/Under: 46

Why Bet The Indianapolis Colts?

The Colts have the far better offense and quarterback. Indianapolis (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) is coming of a hard-fought 29-23 win over Chicago last weekend to cover the spread as a 3.5-point favorite. For the season, quarterback Andrew Luck is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 1,469 yards with 10 touchdowns and three interceptions while receivers T.Y. Hilton and Philip Dorsett have combined for 748 receiving yards and four scores. Veteran running back Frank Gore has rushed for a team-high 328 yards and two touchdowns as Indy has put up an impressive 27.4 points per game to rank seventh in scoring. Defensively, the Colts re allowing a whopping 29.6 points per game to rank a dismal 30th in points allowed.

Why Bet The Houston Texans?

The Texans are playing at home and have the far better defense. Houston (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) got smacked around like a bunch of middle schoolers in their emphatic 31-13 loss to Minnesota last weekend while never coming close to covering the spread as a 6-point underdog. For the season, new starting quarterback Brock Osweiler has struggled in completing just 58.0 percent of his passes for 1,133 yards with six touchdowns but seven costly interceptions. Wide receivers Will Fuller and DeAndre Hopkins have combined for 610 receiving yards and five touchdowns while running back Lamar Miller has rushed for a team-high 371 yards. Houston is averaging a pitiful 16.4 points per game to rank 31st in scoring while limiting the opposition to 20.8 points per game to rank 12th in points allowed.

My Betting Prediction and Pick

While I love Houston Texans head coach Bill O’Brien and know he’s got the big edge in this matchup, I’m going to urge you to back the Indianapolis Colts to get the outright win and accompanying ATS cover in this contest simply because Houston is struggling so much to score the ball and don’t look nearly as good defensively without J.J. Watt on the field.

While Indianapolis is 1-4 SU and ATS in its last five road games and Houston is 6-3 SU and ATS in its last nine games, I still like Indy because of their consistent 17-6- 1 ATS mark in their last 24 games against their AFC South division rivals and 5-1- 1 ATS mark in their last seven meetings against the Texans.

Houston may be playing at home, but Indianapolis gets the outright win on the road to cover the NFL betting line!

My Pick: Indianapolis 31 Houston 28