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Jaguars vs Falcons 2019 NFL Week 16 Spread & Expert Analysis.

Jaguars vs Falcons 2019 NFL Week 16 Spread & Expert Analysis

Written by on December 21, 2019

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Despite failing to their respective preseason playoff hopes in 2019, the Jacksonville Jaguars and Atlanta Falcons will both look to close out the regular season stretch run on a positive note after picking up victories in their respective Week 15 matchups. Now, with both teams looking to record consecutive victories, let’s find out which one is offering the best value against their Week 16 NFL Odds.

Jaguars vs Falcons 2019 NFL Week 16 Spread & Expert Analysis

Why Bet On Jacksonville?

There aren’t many good reasons to back Jacksonville outside of the fact that the Jags picked up a 20-16 win over the reeling Oakland Raiders last weekend. The Jags have been limited to 20 points or less in six straight games while giving up 28 points or more in four of those contests.

Jacksonville has gone a respectable 5-5 under rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew II and the first-year signal-caller has been solid in throwing 17 TD passes against just five interceptions. Unfortunately, the Jags average an uninspiring 17.9 points per game (27th) while giving up 25.2 points per contest defensively (23rd).

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 17.86
  • Passing Yards: 235.79
  • Rushing Yards: 109.00
  • Yards per Play: 5.39

Defense

  • Points per Game: 25.21
  • Passing Yards: 232.29
  • Rushing Yards: 140.14
  • Yards per Play: 5.98

Why Bet On Atlanta?

Atlanta has won two straight games by beating Carolina 40-20 in Week 14 before pulling off a huge upset by taking out previously top-seeded San Francisco 29-22 last weekend. The Falcons have won four of six while not allowing more than 22 points in any victory.

Jaguars vs Falcons should be an easy one for Atlanta.

Atlanta averages 23.5 points per contest (15th) while allowing 26.1 points per game defensively (25th). Veteran quarterback Matt Ryan has thrown at least two TD passes in four of Atlanta’s last six games.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 23.50
  • Passing Yards: 289.07
  • Rushing Yards: 81.36
  • Yards per Play: 5.54

Defense

  • Points per Game: 26.07
  • Passing Yards: 253.71
  • Rushing Yards: 108.86
  • Yards per Play: 5.77

Jaguars vs Falcons NFL Week 16 Betting Trends

  • Falcons are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games at home
  • Falcons are 0-14 ATS in their last 14 games against an opponent in the AFC conference
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games played in week 16
  • Jaguars are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games on the road
  • Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games this season
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville’s last 6 games played in December

Expert Analysis & Prediction for Jaguars vs Falcons

While Jacksonville snapped a five-game skid by upsetting Oakland last weekend, I don’t think the Jags have nearly enough offense to keep up with the still dangerous Falcons. Atlanta has looked like a completely different team since coming back from their bye week and basically, the team we all thought they would be before the start of the regular season.

Not only are the Falcons playing very well on both sides of the ball, but Matt Ryan and company have also gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Jacksonville has gone a discouraging 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. No matter how I look at it, the Falcons come out on top in this one!

Score: Jacksonville Jaguars 17 – Atlanta Falcons 31

 

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