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Kansas City at Dallas NFL Betting Pick & Week 9 Odds

Kansas City at Dallas NFL Betting Pick & Week 9 Odds

Written by on November 3, 2017

Could Chiefs-Cowboys be a Super Bowl preview? The Kansas City Chiefs looks like potentially the best team in the AFC. Dallas of course had the NFC’s best record a season ago but has had some tough sledding thus far in 2017 and won’t have its star running back for a while. Thus Dallas is a short NFL betting underdog.

Kansas City at Dallas NFL Betting Pick & Week 9 Odds

When: Sunday, 4:25 PM ET Where: AT&T Stadium TV:  CBS Radio: KCFX FM 101.1 (Kansas City) / 105.3 FM (Dallas) Opening NFL Betting Lines: Chiefs -1 (51)

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 30°C/86°F
  • Humidity: 46%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 16 mph S
  • Cloud Cover: 5%
  • Type of Stadium: Retractable

Last Meeting

In Week 2 of the 2013 season, the Chiefs beat the visiting Cowboys 17-16. Alex Smith threw for 223 yards and two scores while rushing for 57 yards. He’s still the KC quarterback. Tony Romo was the Dallas QB. He’ll be in the CBS booth on Sunday, calling a game involving his former team for the first team. The Chiefs probably don’t like that as they are 0-2 in Romo games this year (losing to Steelers and Raiders).

Series History

  • Total Meetings: 10
  • First Meeting: October 25th, 1970. Kansas City Municipal Stadium. Kansas City, Missouri
  • Last Meeting: September 15th, 2013. Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City, Missouri
  • All-Time Series: Dallas Cowboys 6-4-0
  • Largest Margin of Victory: Dallas 41-21 (1983)
  • Longest Win Streak: Dallas 2 (2005-2009)
  • Current Win Streak: Kansas City 1 (2013)

Why Bet On Kansas City?

The Chiefs improved to 6-2 with a 29-19 win on Monday over the division-rival Denver Broncos. Rookie Harrison Butker converted all five field-goal attempts and is the first rookie in NFL history to have two games with at least five made field goals. Chiefs cornerback Marcus Peters opened the scoring against Denver by forcing a fumble and returning it 45 yards for a touchdown. Peters, who also added an interception in the opening period, is the first player to have both a fumble-return touchdown and an interception in the first quarter of a game since Ed Reed on December 7, 2008. Since entering the NFL in 2015, Peters has 21 takeaways, the most in the league over that span. Despite going 0 of 3 in the red zone and converting just 2 of 12 third-down attempts, the Chiefs still beat Denver because of turnovers. The Chiefs forced five of them and the Broncos couldn’t overcome those mistakes. Dallas hasn’t been able to overcome its mistakes this season either. In games they turn the ball over — even once — the Cowboys are 1-3, and in games they haven’t turned it over at all, they’re 3-0. The Chiefs rank No. 2 in the NFL this year in turnover differential at plus-10. Smith leads the league in quarterback rating at passes that travel at least 21 yards in the air at 140.9. On the flipside, the Cowboys’ defense has struggled against the deep ball—allowing a quarterback rating of 119.2 this season. One reason to like the Chiefs in this game is because they’ve been nearly unbeatable against NFC teams. Over their past seven games against NFC teams, the Chiefs have gone 6-1 against the NFC and 5-1-1 ATS. They’ve also gone 2-0 over the NFC East this year with wins over the Redskins and Eagles.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 29.50
  • Total Yards: 377.87
  • Pass Yards: 255.12
  • Rush Yards: 122.75
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 22.50
  • Total Yards: 392.24
  • Pass Yards: 261.12
  • Rush Yards: 131.12

Why Bet On Dallas?

Since drafting Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott last year, the Cowboys have gone 4-1 against the AFC. However, that lone loss was a Week 2 blowout in Denver where the Cowboys lost 42-17. The Dallas Cowboys have won two consecutive games, including last week’s 33-19 win at Washington. Defensive tackle Tyrone Crawford blocked a field goal – which was returned 86 yards by cornerback Orlando Scandrick to set up a touchdown – and also recorded a sack and forced fumble. Dallas defensive end Demarcus Lawrence. who leads the NFL with 10.5 sacks, has recorded a sack in all seven games this season. With a sack on Sunday against the Chiefs, Lawrence would join Minnesota’s Everson Griffen (2017), Dwight Freeney (2009) and Robert Mathis (2005) as the only players to record a sack in each of his team’s first eight games of a season since the individual sack became an official statistic in 1982. The Cowboys rank fifth in the league by averaging 28.3 points per game, and some of that success could be attributed to the fact that they have started with great field position this year. Through their first seven games, the Cowboys average starting field position has been at the 32-yard line, which is second-best in the league. Are the Cowboys a safe bet in Week 9? Dallas won’t have Elliott this week as his six-game suspension has been reinstated – at least as of this writing. Elliott currently ranks third in the NFL with 690 yards rushing — trailing only the Chiefs’ Kareem Hunt (763) and the Steelers’ Le’Veon Bell (760). He’s also tied for the league lead with six rushing touchdowns this year. With Elliott’s success on the ground, Prescott has had cleaner avenues to throw the ball. Prescott has 14 touchdown passes and four interceptions this season. Alfred Morris will get the start at tailback with Rod Smith is expected to handle backup reps behind Morris with Darren McFadden operating third on the Cowboys’ depth chart.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 28.29
  • Total Yards: 369.86
  • Pass Yards: 219.29
  • Rush Yards: 150.57
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 23
  • Total Yards: 324.86
  • Pass Yards: 218.86
  • Rush Yards: 106

Latest NFL Betting Trends

  • Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 games
  • Kansas City is 16-5 SU in the last 21 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games
  • Dallas is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games at home
  • Dallas is 17-6 SU in the last 23 games
  • The total went OVER in 5 of Dallas’s last 6 games

Expert Prediction & NFL Betting Pick for Week 9

I’m going Dallas here only because the Cowboys are home and Kansas City on a short week.