Lions at Bills NFL Week 15 Odds, Analysis & Prediction.

Lions at Bills NFL Week 15 Odds, Analysis & Prediction

Written by on December 11, 2018

With 3 weeks left in the NFL season, there are still 23 teams in with a shot at picking up the 9 remaining playoff spots. While that may seem like a large number of teams, keep in mind that a large number of those still mathematically in the hunt are just 1 more loss away from being officially eliminated, so expect that 23 to be cut dramatically this weekend. The Detroit Lions and Buffalo Bills are absolutely not going to be part of the playoff picture, with both teams now using the final few weeks to evaluate what they have and what they need to do to improve ahead of next season.

It’s probably fair to suggest that both teams need a serious upgrade on the offensive side of the football, as both are lacking in the weapons needed to help their respective QB’s. With that in mind, we could potentially be looking at a low scoring affair here, but is that how things will actually play out? The point total is set at a very low 38 points, with the Bills in as a 2 ½ point home favorite.

Lions at Bills NFL Week 15 Odds, Analysis & Prediction

Buccaneers vs Ravens NFL Week 15 Betting Odds & Pick

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 2°C/36°F
  • Humidity: 74%
  • Precipitation: 11%
  • Cloud Cover: 31%
  • Wind: 8 mph WSW
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why bet on the Detroit Lions?

It has been a rough stretch of games for the Lions, who have picked up just 2 wins in their last 7 games, with the latest coming last week against a very poor Arizona Cardinals team. It was also only the second time that Detroit had covered the spread during that run, although it should be noted that on the season, they are 4-2 ATS on the road.

Things are not quite as positive when they go in as the road underdog, with their ATS record there sitting at 2-2. Buffalo has proven to be a tough hunting ground for Detroit, as they have managed just 1 win there in their last 5 visits. As far as the point total goes, the Lions have seen 5 of their last 7 go UNDER, which is the same story for each of their last 5 visits to Buffalo.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 20.85
  • Total Yards: 330.62
  • Rush Yards: 103.00
  • Passing Yards: 227.62
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 24.54
  • Total Yards: 348.69
  • Rush Yards: 115.23
  • Passing Yards: 233.46

Why bet on the Buffalo Bills?

While all signs would seem to point to the under is the way to go here, that has not really been the trend for the Bills. 4 of the last 5 games for Buffalo have gone OVER, but perhaps even more telling is that 17 of their last 22 games at home have also gone OVER the point total.

Lions at Bills should be a close one.

That trend is all the more surprising when you consider that the Bills are putting up just 15 PPG this season, but the reality is that the bookies tend to keep those totals a little bit on the lower side of things when the Bills are involved. Buffalo has only been made the home favorite once this season, which was actually last week’s game versus the Jets, and they failed to cover.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 15.46
  • Total Yards: 292.00
  • Rush Yards: 125.23
  • Passing Yards: 166.77
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 24.62
  • Total Yards: 290.62
  • Rush Yards: 104.77
  • Passing Yards: 185.85

Redskins vs Jaguars NFL Week 15 Lines & Betting Pick

Lions at Bills NFL Week 15 Betting Trends

  • Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit’s last 7 games
  • Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Lions at Bills

I am going to go out on a limb here and take the OVER, as I think that 38 is a little on the low side. I am also going to take Buffalo to win and cover the spread.Score: Detroit Lions 17 – Buffalo Bills 27
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