Lions at Cowboys NFL Week 4 Lines & Expert Pick

Lions at Cowboys NFL Week 4 Lines & Expert Pick

Written by on September 26, 2018

After picking up their first win of the season in stunning fashion last weekend, Matthew Stafford and the Detroit Lions will look to pull off the road ‘upset’ when they visit Dak Prescott and a Dallas Cowboys team that struggled mightily last weekend in their humbling loss. Now, if you want to know whether Stafford and company will cover the NFL spread as a slight road dog or win outright, let’s get to my expert NFL Week 4 pick right now.

Lions at Cowboys NFL Week 4 Betting Lines & Pick

Saints vs Giants NFL Week 4 Odds & Expert Pick

Weather Forecast

  • Chance of Thunderstorm: 26°C/79°F
  • Humidity: 74%
  • Precipitation: 33%
  • Cloud Cover: 60%
  • Wind: 8 mph SSE
  • Stadium Type: Retractable

Why Bet On Dallas Cowboys?

Why should you bet on the Cowboys in Week 4? Well, because prior to last weekend, the Lions looked like a team with problems. Another good reason to back the Boys is that they’re playing at home and they’re already desperate. Still, Dallas looks like a team that is in trouble right about now. The Cowboys were on the wrong end of a convincing 24-13 loss against Seattle on Sunday as Dak Prescott completed 19 of 34 passes for 168 yards with one touchdown but two costly interceptions.

Prescott was also sacked five times in the loss and Dallas was held to an ugly 58 net yards passing entering the fourth quarter. The Boys did get 127 rushing yards from Ezekiel Elliott in the loss, but he had a costly fumble that hurt his team.

“When you’ve got that ball in your hand, that’s the team in our hand,” Elliott said. “Me being a leader on the team, I’ve got to do a better job of taking care of the ball. I mean, that cost us the game.”

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 13.67
  • Total Yards: 277.67
  • Rush Yards: 132.67
  • Passing Yards: 145.00
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 17.67
  • Total Yards: 281.00
  • Rush Yards: 98.33
  • Passing Yards: 182.67

Why Bet On The Detroit Lions?

Why should you bet on Detroit in this contest? Because the Lions looked absolutely fantastic in their stunning 26-10 smackdown of Tom Brady and the New England Patriots on Sunday that gave new head coach Matt Patricia his first career win – against his mentor no less.

“I’m sure it meant a lot, his first win as a head coach,” Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford said. “Probably no sweeter than to do it against your old team. We needed this one.” Lions at Cowboys should be a tough match for both teams. Stafford went 27 of 36 for 262 yards with two touchdowns and one interception and Detroit had their first 100-yard rusher in 70 games as running back Kerryon Johnson rushed for 102 yards on 16 carries. Detroit’s defense was nothing short of phenomenal in harassing Tom Brady into a shocking 14 for 26 performance for 133 yards with one touchdown and one interception.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 22.00
  • Total Yards: 383.00
  • Rush Yards: 68.50
  • Passing Yards: 314.50
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 39.00
  • Total Yards: 347.50
  • Rush Yards: 179.50
  • Passing Yards: 168.00

Eagles vs Titans NFL Week 4 Odds & Expert Betting Preview

Lions at Cowboys NFL Week 4 Betting Trends

  • Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit’s last 12 games
  • Dallas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas’s last 5 games

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Expert Analysis and Prediction for Lions at Cowboys

I don’t care that Dallas is playing at home in this Week 4 matchup. The fact of the matter is that it’s crystal clear that the Cowboys are a team with some serious deficiencies on both sides of the ball After watching both teams this past weekend I’m thinking if Detroit can shut down Tom Brady and the Patriots, they should be able to do even better against a Cowboys passing attack that is seriously lacking in talent.

The Lions are an unblemished 4-0 ATS in their last four games against their NFC counterparts, 6-1-1 ATS in their L/8 games against a team with a losing record and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. Dallas is 12-25-1 ATS in their last 38 games on field turf and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 4.

With the underdog in this series going 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and the Lions now looking like the best team in this matchup, I say back Detroit to get the ATS cover – by winning outright!

Score: Detroit Lions 28 – Dallas Cowboys 23