Are you ready for some futbol? In most of the world, that means soccer. But Sunday afternoon it means American football as the Patriots and Raiders face off in the high altitude of Mexico City – that altitude could certainly have an effect on the players and even maybe the NFL lines for Sunday. The Pats are NFL odds favorites because, well, they always are.
New England vs. Oakland Week 11 NFL Lines & Betting Pick
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) November 17, 2017
When: Sunday, 4:25 PM ET
Where: Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Radio: WBZ 98.5 FM (New England) / KGMZ 95.7 FM (Oakland)
Stream Option: NFL Live
Opening NFL Lines: Patriots -7 (53.5)
- Clear: 20°C/68°
- Humidity: 32%
- Precipitation: 0%
- Wind: 8 mph NNE
- Cloud Cover: 8%
- Type of Stadium: Open
The Patriots and Raiders last played against each other on Sept. 21, 2014 in a 16-9 New England victory at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots lead the all-time series with a 18-15-1 advantage, including a 2-1 postseason record.
- Total Meetings: 34
- First Meeting: October 16th, 1960. Kezar Stadium. San Francisco, California
- Last Meeting: September 21st, 2014
- All-Time Series: New England Patriots 18-15-1
- Largest Margin of Victory: Oakland 48-14 (1967)
- Longest Win Streak: Tied at 4
- Current Win Streak: New England 4 (2005-2014)
Why Bet On New England’s NFL Lines?
New England has won five consecutive games and is tied for the best record in the AFC at 7-2. With a win on Sunday, the Patriots will clinch a .500 or better record for the 17th consecutive season, tying the 1957-73 Cleveland Browns for the second-longest streak in NFL history. The 1965-85 Dallas Cowboys had a .500 or better record in 21 consecutive seasons, the longest such streak all-time.
In last Sunday night’s 41-16 win over Denver, Tom Brady passed for 266 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. Brady, who has won 86 career regular-season road starts, surpassed Peyton Manning (85) for the most regular-season road victories by a starting quarterback in NFL history.
How are the Pats Doing So Far this Season?
The Patriots lead the NFL in total offense (409.4 yards per game) and passing offense (301.6). Brady leads the NFL in completions (231), attempts (343) and passing yards (2,807), ranks second in passer rating (108.3) and ties for second in touchdown passes (19). New England has won 12 straight road games, tied for the second most in NFL history.
The NFL did the Patriots a huge favor for this game by having them play in Denver in Wek 10, which means they should be prepared for the extreme altitude that they’ll see when they get to Mexico City, which sits nearly 7,400-feet above sea level.
The Patriots will play an international game for the third time after playing in London in 2009 and 2012 at Wembley Stadium. The Patriots beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 35-7 at Wembley Stadium on Oct. 25, 2009 and then beat the St. Louis Rams, 45-7, on Oct. 28, 2012.
- Average Score For: 28.56
- Total Yards: 409.45
- Pass Yards: 301.56
- Rush Yards: 107.89
- Average Score Against: 21.67
- Total Yards: 408.33
- Pass Yards: 287.22
- Rush Yards: 121.11
Why Bet On Oakland’s NFL Lines?
This will mark the eighth time this season the Patriots have been favored by five or more points and they’re 3-4 ATS in those games. So that bodes well for Oakland, which is the home team in Mexico. The Raiders have had the edge in home games against the Patriots as they own a 10-7 record, but obviously those were in Oakland.
The Raiders, who had a bye last week, defeated Miami 27-24 in Week 9. QB Derek Carr led the offense with 300 passing yards on 21-of-30 passing with one touchdown and one interception for quarterback rating of 99.3. Marshawn Lynch returned from a one-game suspension and rushed for two touchdowns while adding 57 yards on 14 carries. TE Jared Cook led all receivers, hauling in eight catches for 126 yards, a season high. WR Johnny Holton made the game’s biggest play, recording a 44-yard touchdown in the first half. Holton has now caught two passes on the year, both touchdowns (44 and 64 yards). On defense, LB NaVorro Bowman led the team in tackles for the third straight game, tallying 10 on the evening.
Can the Raiders Stop Tom Brady?
Brady has been outstanding this year, but if the Raiders are able to regularly get to him Sunday, it would certainly play to their advantage. The Patriots have allowed 22 sacks so far in 2017. Oakland has one of the NFL’s best pass-rushers in Khalil Mack, although he hasn’t taken down the quarterback since the Raiders Week 7 win over the Kansas City Chiefs. Mack, who has 4.5 of the Raiders’ league-low 13 sacks, is the team’s highest-graded player with a Pro Football Focus grade of 91.2. And that 91.2 ranks fourth in the NFL among edge defenders.
Besides the Raiders being tied with the New York Giants for the fewest sacks in the NFL, Oakland is also the first team since at least 1933 to go the first nine games of a season without an interception.
Oakland defeated Houston 27-20 last year at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City (November 21, 2016). In that contest, Carr threw three touchdown passes, including the game-winning 35-yard score to wide receiver Amari Cooper with 4:43 remaining.
- Average Score For: 21.78
- Total Yards: 324.56
- Pass Yards: 237
- Rush Yards: 87.56
- Average Score Against: 23.78
- Total Yards: 361.12
- Pass Yards: 244.56
- Rush Yards: 116.56
Latest NFL Betting Trends
- Patriots are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
- Patriots are 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
- The total went OVER in 9 of New England’s last 13 games
- Raiders are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 games
- Raiders are 2-5 SU in the last 7 games
- The total went OVER in 4 of Oakland’s last 5 games
Expert Prediction & NFL Betting Pick for Week 11
Buy that number up to 7.5 and take Oakland in the NFL lines. It’s a must-win game for the Raiders and they are well-rested and used to Mexico.