Tom Brady and the New England Patriots may have come up just short in their quest to win Super Bowl 52 last season, but the perennially powerful Pats recorded double-digit victories for the 15th consecutive season. Bill Belichick’s squad won a dozen games or more for the eighth straight season and will enter 2018 with a win total odds figure that makes reaching 12 wins the big question.
If you’re thinking about betting on New England’s 2018 win total odds and you’re looking for some assistance in figuring out just how many games the longtime AFC East residents are going to win this coming season, then you’ve come to the right place. Let’s get to my expert win total odds analysis and predictions
New England Patriots 2018 NFL Win/Loss Odds Prediction
Week 1: Sunday Sept. 9, vs. Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET
Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson should have been the No. 1 pick in last year’s draft. The Pats pulled out a narrow win in their Week 3 ‘Instant Classic’ against Houston last season and I like the Pats to get another narrow win in their regular season opener in 2018. Win. 1-0.
Week 2: Sunday Sept. 16, at Jacksonville Jaguars, 4:25 p.m. ET
I’m feeling like Jacksonville is going to get some revenge in their 2018 home opener after falling to the Pats 24-20 in a thriller in the AFC Championship game last season. Loss. 1-1.
Week 3: Sunday Sept. 23, at Detroit Lions, 8:20 p.m. ET
It’s really nice that new Lions head coach Matt Patricia comes from the Bill Belichick branch of coaches. Too bad his familiarity with his former boss won’t help him beat the Patriots in this week 3 matchup. Win. 2-1.
Week 4: Sunday Sept. 30, vs. Miami Dolphins, 1 p.m. ET
New England will likely be a double-digit home favorite in this Week 4 matchup against their longtime AFC East divisional rivals – and they’ll cover the chalk against the awful Dolphins! Win. 3-1.
Week 5: Thursday Oct. 4, vs. Indianapolis Colts, 8:20 p.m. ET
Yea, quarterback Andrew Luck will be back on the field for Indianapolis in 2018. Too bad the Colts have a ton of questions marks on both sides of the ball. Win. 4-1.
Week 6: Sunday Oct. 14, vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 8:20 p.m. ET
I know the Chiefs have a first-time starter in second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes, but I smell a home loss brewing in this one simply because Andy Reid knows how to coach against Bill Belichick. Loss. 4-2.
Week 7: Sunday Oct. 21, at Chicago Bears, 1 p.m. ET
The Pats will make their first trip to the Windy City since way back in 2010 and they’ll leave with a victory over the rebuilding Bears! Win. 5-2.
Week 8: Monday Oct. 29, at Buffalo Bills, 8:15 p.m. ET
New Era Field will be electric with the Bills hosting their first Monday night game since 2008. Unfortunately, the Bills are not getting a win against the far superior Patriots and it could turn ugly depending on how competent either AJ McCarron or Nathan Peterman are. Win. 6-2.
Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 4, vs. Green Bay Packers, 8:20 p.m. ET
I think Aaron Rodgers is better than Tom Brady, but New England is definitely better than Green Bay when it comes to all three phases of the game. Win. 7-2.
Week 10: Sunday, Nov. 11, at Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. ET
Bill Belichick will be going up against another protégées in new Titans head coach Mike Vrabel, but the Titans are fighting an uphill battle as they will be playing on a short week. Win. 8-2.
Week 11: Bye
Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 25, at New York Jets, 1 p.m. ET
The Patriots are 13-5 coming off the bye under Bill Belichick. Todd Bowles is my guy, but the former Temple U. product and his New York Jets are going down. Win. 9-2.
Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2, vs. Minnesota Vikings, 4:25 p.m. ET
I like the Vikings to hand the Pats their second home loss of the season in this one as their stupendous defense mostly puts ‘the clamps’ on Tom Brady. Loss. 9-3.
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9, at Miami Dolphins, 1 p.m. ET
I know the Dolphins beat the Patriots at home last season and that they’ve taken four of the last five meetings in South beach, but I don’t see that happening this time around mostly because the Pats will be taking this Week 14 meeting very seriously in an effort to build some momentum prior to the playoffs. Well, that and the fact that I’m expecting Miami to be mediocre at best in 2018. Win. 10-3.
Week 15: Sunday, Dec. 16, at Pittsburgh Steelers, 4:25 p.m. ET
Big Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers have lost five straight to the Patriots, including last season’s 27-24 home loss in Week 15. Still, I’m thinking that streak is due to come to an end. Loss. 10-4.
Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 23, vs. Buffalo Bills, 1 p.m. ET
Sweep, sweep, sweep. The Bills go down and they go down hard in this Week 16 divisional matchup. Win. 11-4.
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30, vs. New York Jets, 1 p.m. ET
You might as well bring your brooms with you again. The Pats sweep another division rival to close out their 2018 campaign. Win. 12-4.