New England Patriots NFL Win/Loss Odds Analysis and Prediction

Posted by Henry Watkins on Tuesday,July 4, 2017 9:45, EDT in

We are officially in the month of July, which means that football fans all across the country are now gearing up for the start of training camp. When the doors to those facilities open, people really start to talk about football, whilst also making some bold predictions about the upcoming season. Since we are in the prediction business, we thought it would be a good idea to look at each team and figure out how many wins and losses they might come up with this season for the New England Patriots.

New England Patriots Regular Season Wins (2017 NFL Season)
O 12½ -120
U 12½ -110

The NFL total odds for the 2017 season have been set, and each team has been given the number that they need to beat. There is going to be some pressure on the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots, but as they have so often proven in the past, they are usually up for that challenge. The Patriots win total has been set at 12.5, so let’s look at their schedule, broken down by month to see if they can cross that lofty total as well as their current NFL betting picks here.

A Closer Look At The New England Patriots NFL Win/Loss Odds Analysis and Prediction

 

 

Patriots in September

The champions open the season on Thursday night by hosting the Kansas City Chiefs. Since the introduction of the Kick-Off Game, the defending champion has gone 11-2, so let’s take the Patriots to win.

Week 2 sees the Patriots head to New Orleans, which is a game they should win. That is followed by another Thursday game, with the Texans at home.

Short week often equals a loss, so let’s take Texans. That puts the Patriots 2-1 in September.

Patriots in October

Another tough match-up to start the month of October, with the Carolina Panthers in town. A potential close one here, but need to go with the Patriots at home.

Week 5 sees New England travel to Tampa for another Thursday game. This is a tough one, but Pats get the win. Next up is the Jets, a team that New England always seems to struggle against, on the road.

I think they will lose one of the Jets games, so let’s go with this one. Another Thursday night game is next, and it’s a Super Bowl rematch versus the Falcons at home. Same outcome as the last meeting, I believe.

The month of October closes out with a home game versus the Chargers, which should be a win.

That puts the Patriots 4-1 in October, and 6-2 overall.

Patriots in November

The Patriots get a bye in Week 9, and then follow that up with a Sunday night game in Denver. Always a tough place to play, and the potential for a bit of rust after the layoff. Broncos win.

Next up, the Patriots travel to Mexico for a neutral site game versus the Raiders. This one could go either way, but let’s take the Patriots.

The next game for the Patriots is a visit from the Miami Dolphins, which should be a win. That sees the Patriots end November at 2-1 for the month, and 8-3 for the season.

Miami Dolphins in Monday night tilt, which is another game that Patriots should be able to handle.

Patriots in December

It’s the Miami Dolphins again in a Monday night tilt, which is another game that the Patriots should be able to handle quite comfortably.

They then have a short week, and a trip to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers. That short week could come into play here, and I like the Steelers to win.

Can the Patriots repeat as NFL Champs in 2018?

A home game versus the Bills is next, which should be another easy victory. The Patriots should have clinched the division as they head into the final game of the season versus the Jets.

This means that some key players may be sitting out, but I still like the Pats to take care of the Jets at home.  That puts the New England Patriots at 4-1 in December and 12-4 on the season.

Conclusion

Yes, I expect the Patriots to once again be one of the elite teams in the league, but I think that the 12.5 mark may be just a little too high, and that they will come up just short. I am taking the UNDER.