New Orleans at Buffalo Game Preview & Expert NFL Week 10 Pick.

New Orleans at Buffalo Game Preview & Expert NFL Week 10 Pick

Written by on November 9, 2017

Football fans and the media will talk about the ultimate goal of every team in the league being a Super Bowl win, but the reality is that they all probably think about getting to the playoffs first. The easiest path to the postseason is with a division win, but even landing on top of any division is tough, with all but one or two of the races this season looking as though they might go down to the wire, including the ones involving New Orleans and Buffalo, which is why the NFL Week 10 pick for this game is not easy.The AFC East has been owned by the New England Patriots for as long as anyone can remember, but they are getting pushed to the limit by the 5-3 Bills this season.In the NFC South, the Saints have forged their way to the top, but both the Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons will still feel as though they have a say in the proceedings. The Saints will be on the road in Buffalo this weekend, with both teams looking to get the win that would allow them to continue their assault on the respective divisions. The Saints are a 3-point favorite for this one, with the point total set at 46 ½.

New Orleans at Buffalo Game Preview & Expert NFL Week 10 Pick

  • When: Sunday, November 12, 1 PM EST
  • Where: New Era Field, Buffalo
  • TV: FOX
  • Radio: 105.3 FM (New Orleans) / 96.5 FM (Buffalo)
  • Live Stream: Fox Sports Go
  • NFL Week 10 Odds: New Orleans Saints -3 EV (Over/Under at 46.5)

Team Records

  • All: New Orleans Saints 6-2 / Buffalo Bills 5-3
  • Home: New Orleans Saints 3-1 / Buffalo Bills 4-0
  • Away: New Orleans Saints 3-1 / Buffalo Bills 1-3
  • ATS: New Orleans Saints 5-3 / Buffalo Bills 4-2-2
  • Over/Under: New Orleans Saints 4-4 / Buffalo Bills 4-4

Lions Are Big NFL Week 10 Betting Favorites Against Browns

Recent Head to Head (Last 5 Games)

  • Record: New Orleans Saints lead 4-1
  • Score: New Orleans Saints 27.60 / Buffalo Bills 16.40
  • Rush Yards: New Orleans Saints 128.60 / Buffalo Bills 114.60
  • Pass Attempts: New Orleans Saints 34.40 / Buffalo Bills 28.40
  • Completion Percentage: New Orleans Saints 58.72 / Buffalo Bills 57.04
  • Passing Yards: New Orleans Saints 224.20 / Buffalo Bills 147.20
  • Total Yards: New Orleans Saints 352.8 / Buffalo Bills 261.8
  • Turnovers: New Orleans Saints 0.80 / Buffalo Bills 2.20

Why should the Saints be your NFL Week 10 Pick?

The Saints Super Bowl win seems so very far away now, as this is a team that has struggled to get anywhere near the lofty heights they reached when they won the Lombardi Trophy. During those lean years, it has always been their play on the defensive side of the football that has hurt them. Drew Brees and the offense hold up their end of the bargain more often than not but have been put in situations where they are all too often chasing games because of their defensive misgivings. The defense has been brilliant this season and has really tightened up in the last 3 weeks, giving up just 13 PPG.The improvements on the defensive side of the football have allowed the Saints to thrive, with their 6 straight wins taking them to the top of the division. New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 4 of which they won SU. They are also 4-1 SU and ATS in their last 6 meetings with Buffalo.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For: 27.62
  • Total Yards: 392.5
  • Rush Yards: 122.75
  • Passing Yards: 269.75
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 19.38
  • Total Yards: 326.62
  • Rush Yards: 116.12
  • Passing Yards: 210.50

Why should the Bills be your NFL Week 10 Pick?

Just as people were starting to talk about the Buffalo Bills and their chances of toppling the New England Patriots in the AFC East, they go out and lose a game to the New York Jets. In fairness, the Jets are better than we all thought they would be this season, but if Buffalo does have designs on the division and the playoffs, they will know that those are the types of games they need to win.According to our expert, the Bills shouldn't be your NFL Week 10 Pick.Two of the three losses that Buffalo have suffered this season have come against what could be described as lesser opposition, with their defeat prior to the Jets loss coming at the hands of the Cincinnati Bengals. The good news for the Buffalo Bills this weekend is that they are back at home. They are a very healthy 5-1 SU in their last 6 home games, going 4-1-1 ATS in those games. 4 of their last 6 games against the Saints have gone UNDER.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For: 21.75
  • Total Yards: 303.76
  • Rush Yards: 116.88
  • Passing Yards: 186.88
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 18.62
  • Total Yards: 344.87
  • Rush Yards: 94.62
  • Passing Yards: 250.25

Latest NFL Week 10 Betting Trends

  • Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Saints are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 5 games
  • Bills are 6-9-3 ATS in their last 18 games
  • Bills are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 14 of Buffalo’s last 20 games

Expert NFL Week 10 Pick and Final Score Prediction

I think the UNDER trend will continue is this one, as both teams have been good on the defensive side of the football. The Saints have momentum on their side right now, and I like them to win and cover in Buffalo.Score: New Orleans Saints 24 – Buffalo Bills 20
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