NFL Odds & Preview for Must Bet Games in Week 6.

NFL Odds & Preview for Must Bet Games in Week 6

Written by on October 9, 2017

There are three winless teams left in the NFL: Cleveland Browns, San Francisco 49ers, and the New York Giants. That the first two don’t have a win is no shock, but the Giants situation is a huge surprise. Now, they are also without their best offensive player (Odell Beckham Jr.), which is why the Denver Broncos are huge NFL Odds favorites for their Week 6 match-up at Mile High. well as next Monday night’s Colts-Titans game.On Monday, the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans will clash in an AFC South duel to determine which one can compete with the stunning Jacksonville Jaguars. Let’s find out which teams offer greater value.

NFL Odds & Preview for Must Bet Games in Week 6

NY Giants at Denver Broncos NFL Odds & TV Info

  • When: Sunday, 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: Sports Authority Field at Mile High
  • TV: NBC
  • Radio: Siriusxm
  • Live Stream: NBCSports.com
  • NFL Odds: Broncos -11.5

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Why consider the Giants NFL Odds?

Not sure I would consider they are 0-5 – as many losses as the entire 2016 regular season – and their top three receivers all left Sunday’s 27-22 loss to the previously winless Chargers. Odell Beckham Jr., Sterling Shepard, and Brandon Marshall all suffered ankle injuries, with Beckham fracturing his and likely done for the season, an absolutely crushing loss. Since he entered the league in 2014, the Giants’ offense has averaged .15 expected points added per pass play with Beckham Jr. on the field, compared to .09 without him. That .06 expected points added per pass play difference translates to roughly 2.3 points per game, which is significant for a non-quarterback.It’s not yet clear whether Shepard or Marshall can play against Denver. Their only healthy wideout right now is 2016 undrafted free agent Roger Lewis. In addition, WR and return man Dwayne Harris (fractured foot), linebacker Jonathan Casillas and cornerback Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie also were injured. Harris is out for the season.It’s hard to see Coach Ben McAdoo surviving this. “Listen, I get paid to win, not merely compete, and right now we’re 0-5,” McAdoo said. “I’m my biggest critic. I look in the mirror and I have to do a better job.”The Giants had the league’s best red zone defense last season, allowing right around 4.0 points per trip. This year, while they haven’t been bad, Steve Spagnuolo’s defense is allowing 4.9 points per red zone possession, which is 11th best in the league.Team StatisticsOffense
  • Average Score For: 16.40
  • Total Yards: 326.4
  • Rush Yards: 77.80
  • Passing Yards: 248.60
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 24.40
  • Total Yards: 363.8
  • Rush Yards: 139
  • Passing Yards: 224.80

Why consider the Broncos NFL Odds?

The Broncos (3-1) come off their bye week so that’s an advantage as they were able to get healthy. QB Trevor Siemian has been up and down. In the season’s early going Siemian’s four-touchdown day against the Cowboys is kind of the model of what the Broncos hope to see. He was efficient — 68.8 percent completion rate — and the Broncos were 4-of-4 scoring touchdowns in the red zone. But Siemian had two interceptions in the Broncos’ loss to the Buffalo Bills, including one when he was trying to throw the ball away.The Broncos are tied for third in the league in rushing behind an offensive line that was retooled in the offseason, but that same offensive line has had moments in pass protection when it has looked out of sync. Denver leads the NFL in total and rushing defense. The Broncos have allowed just 50.8 yards rushing per game and held Melvin Gordon, Ezekiel Elliott, LeSean McCoy and Marshawn Lynch to a combined 95 yards rushing and no rushing touchdowns in the first four games. Denver was a dismal 28th in the league last season, having allowed 135.2 yards per game on the ground.The Broncos do need to get better in the red zone. Overall, inside their opponents’ 20-yard line the Broncos have converted just 50 percent of their trips into touchdowns and that is tied for 20th in the league. But that figure is built on their quality efforts in the first two games. The Broncos were 3-of-5 scoring touchdowns on drives inside the opponents’ 20 in the season opener against the Chargers and 4-of-4 in the rout of the Cowboys, they are 1-of-7 combined in the last two games – a loss to the Bills and a win over the Raiders.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For: 24.50
  • Total Yards: 341.25
  • Rush Yards: 143
  • Passing Yards: 198.25
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 18.50
  • Total Yards: 260.75
  • Rush Yards: 50.75
  • Passing Yards: 210

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans NFL Odds & TV Info

  • When: Monday, Oct. 16, 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville
  • TV: ESPN
  • Radio: Siriusxm
  • Live Stream: Watch ESPN
  • NFL Odds: TBA

Why consider the Colts NFL Odds?

The Colts have won 11 straight against the Titans and 16 of 17 but they usually had either Andrew Luck or Peyton Manning under center. That won’t be the case for this game. Manning is retired and Luck still isn’t ready to play as he recovers from offseason shoulder surgery. He did finally return to practice last week but was very limited. You likely won’t see Luck in a game until November. The focus right now is on continuing to rebuild strength in the shoulder. The healing has taken its course. But strengthening the shoulder to a point where Luck can make throws at an “NFL level” is going to be the goal.The Colts visit Tennessee with the NFL Odds against them.The success of young Jacoby Brissett, acquired in trade from New England, has eased some concerns and prevented this season from becoming a disaster that it would’ve been with Scott Tolzien under center. The Colts improved to 2-3 with Sunday’s 26-23 OT win over San Francisco. Marlon Mack’s 35-yard run set up Adam Vinatieri for a 51-yard field goal. Vinatieri made four field goals to move into second on the NFL’s career list, one ahead of Gary Anderson (538). Brissett threw for a season-high 314 yards and rushed for a touchdown. Mack averaged 14.2 yards per carry in the second half and in overtime. He had 35-, 22- and 16-yard runs during that span.Indy tried to blow the game, getting outscored by 14 in the fourth quarter as the Niners sent it to OT. The Colts have now been outscored by an NFL-high 45 points in the fourth quarter this season.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For: 19.40
  • Total Yards: 302
  • Rush Yards: 100
  • Passing Yards: 202
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 31.80
  • Total Yards: 397.4
  • Rush Yards: 103.40
  • Passing Yards: 294

Why consider the Titans NFL Odds?

That line above is projected; it’s going to depend on the status of Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota. He was a game-time decision Sunday in Miami with a hamstring injury but was inactive. Mariota gradually did more at practice each day last but most of his work consisted of throwing intermediate passes in individual drills before going inside for rehab, while Matt Cassel led the first-team offense. With an extra day of rest this week, the chances are decent that Mariota plays.The Tennessee Titans need him because they did nothing offensively in a 16-10 loss to the Dolphins behind the journeyman Cassel. Cassel went 21 for 32 for 141 yards and was sacked six times. Tennessee totaled 188 yards and went 2 for 13 on third down. Coach Mike Mularkey said Mariota wasn’t close to being able to play, and his status remains day to day. Mularkey refuted an NFL Network report that stated Mariota would need to miss two to four weeks with his hamstring injury. He seemed optimistic about his chances for the Colts showdown if Mariota showed some more mobility.Six quarters into the 2017 Cassel experiment, it’s clear the Titans didn’t properly address the backup quarterback position. They could have signed Colin Kaepernick but opted for Brandon Weeden. Cassel can’t make all the throws anymore, he doesn’t have the awareness to find the hot route or get rid of the ball consistently, and defenses don’t respect him.Left tackle Taylor Lewan suffered a knee injury in the Titans’ loss to the Dolphins and will have an MRI back in Tennessee to determine the severity.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For: 22
  • Total Yards: 308.6
  • Rush Yards: 124.80
  • Passing Yards: 183.80
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 28.40
  • Total Yards: 345
  • Rush Yards: 110
  • Passing Yards: 235

Expert Prediction for Week 6

The Broncos are rested and healthy and should crush the deflated Giants. Take the Titans is Mariota makes it back but go Indy if not.
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