NY Giants at Dallas Week 1 Lines Report & Expert Pick

Posted by Jordan Walterss on Friday,July 15, 2016 9:05, EST in

The Dallas Cowboys sank to 4-12 last season with quarterback Tony Romo limited to just four games. It was the team’s worst record since Jimmy Johnson’s 1-15 first season. Well, Romo will return to the field in Week 1 this NFL season against the rival New York Giants in what should be an offensive showcase as both teams can score plenty but have trouble on defense. The Cowboys are slight home favorites in NFL Week 1 betting odds.

Here’s a In Depth Look at the NY Giants at Dallas Week 1 Lines Report, Expert Pick & TV Info

When: Sunday, Sept. 11, 4:25 PM ET
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington
TV: Fox
Stream: NFL.com
RadioDallas / New York
Opening NFL Lines: Cowboys -3.5 (49)

NY Giants vs Dallas Historical Betting Trends

These teams also met Week 1 last year in Dallas and the Cowboys won 27-26. Romo threw an 11-yard touchdown pass to Witten with 7 seconds left, and the Cowboys overcame three turnovers to win. The Cowboys drove 72 yards in 1:27 after stopping New York at the 1 and forcing Josh Brown’s fourth field goal when a touchdown would have sealed the Giants’ first victory in an opener against Dallas. Romo threw for 356 yards and three touchdowns with two interceptions. But Dallas lost Pro Bowl receiver Dez Bryant in the game to a broken right foot that would cost him several weeks. The Giants tried to throw on third down from the Dallas 1 with a 23-20 lead, but the Cowboys didn’t take the play-action fake. Giants QB Eli Manning made a huge mistake in throwing the ball away instead of taking a sack, stopping the clock and giving Romo the final 1:34 to try to win.

In Week 7 at the Giants, New York won 27-20. New York snapped a five-game slide against Dallas as Dwayne Harris ran back a kickoff 100 yards for the winning points in the fourth quarter against his former teammates. Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie had two interceptions, returning one 58 yards for a touchdown. Matt Cassel was Dallas’ starting QB that day and he wasn’t good. Darren McFadden rushed for 152 yards and a TD.

Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Dallas.
Over is 20-8- 1 in the last 29 meetings.
Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Dallas.
Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.

Why Bet on NY Giants?

They have they incomparable Odell Beckham Jr. and Dallas has a porous secondary. Also, the Giants are planning to throw downfield more this season. As the talented offensive group enters its third season under Ben McAdoo, who moves from coordinator to head coach, wide receiver Dwayne Harris said the unit will look to change the teams’ offensive strategy.

“I think we’re getting better just throwing the ball down the field more,” Harris said. “We’re definitely trying to work on throwing the ball down the field, throwing more deep passes.”

The healthy return of Victor Cruz, in addition to second-round draft pick Sterling Sheperd, provides a pair of complements for Beckham. Manning, meanwhile, is coming off the best statistical season of his 12-year career. He completed 62.6 percent of passes for 4,436 yards and 35 touchdowns last year. The Giants just couldn't stop anyone.

Why Bet on Dallas?

Only if Romo is healthy. But if so, this offense is also loaded. Dallas scored nearly 200 fewer points in 2015 than it did the year prior, posting the second-worst point differential in the NFC (minus-99) largely due to Romo’s injury. Additionally, the Cowboys’ 275 points scored were only better than the 49ers in the NFL, which is really saying something about how non-threatening they were on that side of the ball. Romo will be back at 100 percent after breaking his collarbone twice in 2015, immediately making Dallas a dangerous team. Add in the fact that he’ll get his always-reliable target Bryant back, too, and the Cowboys automatically field one of the best quarterback-receiver duos in the NFL. The Cowboys went 3-1 in Romo’s four starts in 2015 and are 15-4 with him the past two seasons. Rookie running back Ezekiel Elliott will only help with Romo’s protection and with diversifying the offense to take pressure off of him.

My Expert Pick

Definitely go over the total on NFL odds. Take Dallas at home.