NFL Odds on NY Giants Beating Cowboys for a Third Time this Season

Posted by Juan Carlos on Wednesday,December 14, 2016 12:29, EDT in

Eli Manning and the New York Giants have beaten Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys in both regular season meetings and are now poised to reach the playoffs as a likely wild card entry. Despite their two losses to the Giants, with a league-high 11 wins, the Cowboys look like they’re going to secure home field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs at the very least. Now, with both NFC East rivals looking to fulfill their respective Super Bowl hopes, the question begs to be asked. Will the Cowboys and Giants meet for a third time this season in the playoffs? Let’s find out how just how likely this potential playoff pairing is and the current NFL odds if it occurs.

NFL Odds on NY Giants Beating Cowboys for a Third Time this Season

Odds of Cowboys and Giants Meeting in the Playoffs

Yes +150

No -180

If the regular season ended today, Dallas, Detroit, Tampa Bay and Seattle would automatically get in as division winners. The Giants would get the first wild card spot with Atlanta getting the sixth and final spot in the NFC playoffs. With the Cowboys and Lions getting byes, New York would then face either Tampa Bay or Seattle. If the G-Men get the Buccaneers, they could very well win and advance. If they face the Seahawks, they’re getting bounced with a one-and- done postseason run. If the G-Men win their wild card clash, they could then face Dallas in the divisional round, where they would then pose another huge problem for the Cowboys. Now, let’s find out who I like to get the win in their hypothetical third meeting.

Possible Playoff Game Odds

Dallas Cowboys -3

Over/Under 45

Analysis: Okay people, so what’s going to go down if these longtime NFC East rivals meet again?

Well, the Giants (9-4 SU, 7-5- 1 ATS) are ranked 25th in scoring at a modest 19.6 points per game but are seventh in points allowed defensively in limiting the opposition to just 18.8 points per game defensively.

Odell Beckham Jr. has a team-high 1,109 receiving yards and nine touchdowns but New York’s leading rusher, veteran Rashad Jennings has just 459 rushing yards on the season. Safety Landon Collins has recorded a team-high five interceptions while playing like the best safety in the game today for the most part.

Dallas (11-2 SU, 9-4 ATS) is ranked sixth in scoring at 26.2 points per game and a surprising fifth in points allowed at 18.3 points per contest defensively. Ezekiel Elliott has rushed for a league-high 1,392 yards and 13 touchdowns while Dak Prescott has completed a stellar 65.8 percent of his passes for 3,139 yards with 2o touchdowns and a modest four interceptions.

The G-Men are 4-3 ATS at home, but more importantly, a solid 3-2- 1 ATS on the road. Dallas is 4-2 ATS at home and 5-2 ATS on the road.

In their first meeting this season, New York won 20-19 in Week 1 against the Cowboys as a 1-point road underdog while the game’s 39 combined points played Under the 47.5- point Over/Under Total.

The Giants held Ezekiel Elliott to 51 rushing yards and the Cowboys to just 101 total rushing yards in the win while limiting Dak Prescott to 25-for- 45 passing for 227 yards and no touchdowns. Eli Manning completed 19 of 28 passes for 207 yards with three touchdowns and one interception.

In their second meeting in Week 14, the Giants man-handled the Cowboys en route to a hard-fought 10-7 win by limiting Prescott to 17 for 37 passing for a modest 165 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions. While Ezekiel Elliott rushed for 107 yards on 24 carries, it may have been the ‘quietest’ 100-yard rushing performance this season.

Conversely, Manning completed 17 of 28 passes for 193 yards with one touchdown and one interception while Odell Beckham Jr. caught four passes for 94 yards and a game-deciding 61-yards touchdown.

For me, New York is the pick to win and cover the spread if these two rivals should meet in the postseason. Clearly, the Giants have been the only tem in the league to find a winning formula against the Cowboys and their Week 14 win really solidified that fact as New York’s underrated defense completely shut down Dak Prescott or the second time this season while also putting the clamps on Elliott, particularly in the second half.

In their last four road games against the Cowboys as an underdog of three points or less, New York has gone 2-1 SU over the last three such meetings and 2-1- 1 ATS over the last four.

For me, if the Giants can beat the Cowboys while scoring just one touchdown, then Dallas is fighting an uphill battle to beat their hated division rivals.

NFL Pick: NY Giants 24 Dallas 21

Odds for Cowboys Postseason Starting QB

Dak Prescott to Start in Playoffs -180

Tony Romo to Start in Playoffs +150

Analysis: I know it’s pretty amazing that anyone would even consider replacing gifted rookie signal-caller Dak Prescott at quarterback seeing as how he’s been mostly phenomenal all season long and is clearly the future in the Big D, but when your owner is a longtime Tony Romo-lover like Jerry Jones is, I guess anything’s possible.

Having said that, I still think the odds of Romo starting for the Cowboys in the postseason is pretty slim. First and foremost, Dak Prescott has only been beaten by one tem this season and it’s not like he was at fault in either contest, with New York’s defense playing out of its mind in both affairs, but particularly the Week 14 showdown.

Tony Romo is more brittle than peanut butter and the fact that he’s managed just two playoff victories in a decade as Dallas’ starter, tells me he should never see the field this postseason. Still, there’s a slim chance that it could happen.