Patriots vs Dolphins NFL Week 14 Odds & Game Info.

Patriots vs Dolphins NFL Week 14 Odds & Game Info

Written by on December 4, 2018

The final 4 weeks of the NFL regular season will be all about clinching those available playoff spots, while for some teams, it will be about evaluating talent and looking ahead. While few teams have yet to officially clinch their playoff spot, there are a few that are very much on the brink. The real battles going on now are for the Wild Card spots, although there are still a couple of divisions hanging in the balance.

The AFC East is one division that looks to be settled, as one more win for the New England Patriots will mean that they nab that crown. The Miami Dolphins could make things a little more interesting with a win this weekend, but the reality for them is that they are more than likely looking at the Wild Card as their only way into the postseason. With the battle for those WC spots looking as though it is going to go right down to the final week, the Dolphins really need this one to keep pace with the pack. New England is in as an 8 ½ point favorite, with the point total set at 47 ½.

Patriots vs Dolphins NFL Week 14 Odds & Game Info

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Weather Forecast

  • Mostly Cloudy: 28°C/83°F
  • Humidity: 65%
  • Precipitation: 19%
  • Cloud Cover: 74%
  • Wind: 15 mph SW
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why bet on the New England Patriots?

We were all perhaps a little too quick to write off the Patriots after they started the season with a 1-2 record. They have been money since then, going 8-1 SU in their last 9 games to once again put themselves in position for a division crown and a potential first-round bye. It has been a convincing run of form for Brady and company, as they have now also covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games, which includes covering in 5 of their last 6.

While the Patriots have made a habit of dominating this division in recent years, they have not been totally convincing against the Dolphins, going 6-4 SU in their last 10 meetings. Miami has not been a happy hunting ground for the Patriots, with just 1 win in their last 5 visits, as well as going 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 27.58
  • Total Yards: 395.09
  • Rush Yards: 121.67
  • Passing Yards: 273.42
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 21.58
  • Total Yards: 369.33
  • Rush Yards: 106.75
  • Passing Yards: 262.58

Why bet on the Miami Dolphins?

Heading into last weekend, the Dolphins were on a run that had seen them pick up just 1 win in a 5-game span. They needed a win against Buffalo, and while they made heavy going of it, they were able to come away with the victory that kept them alive in the Wild Card race.

Patriots vs Dolphins is going to be a close one.

The Dolphins have not been a particularly good ATS bet, going 5-5 in the last 10 games, although they are 3-1 ATS in their last 4. They have been made the home underdog on 3 previous occasions this season and have gone 2-1 ATS in those meetings. The one thing that you really need to keep in mind here, besides how well the Dolphins have performed at home against the Patriots, is that they are 5-1 ATS in home games this season.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 20.33
  • Total Yards: 302.09
  • Rush Yards: 102.67
  • Passing Yards: 199.42
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 25.00
  • Total Yards: 399.42
  • Rush Yards: 144.67
  • Passing Yards: 254.75

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Patriots vs Dolphins NFL Week 14 Betting Trends

  • New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • New England is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England’s last 5 games
  • Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 13 of Miami’s last 19 games at home

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Patriots vs Dolphins

I think that the Patriots get the win they need to clinch the division, but I am not sold on the point spread here. Let’s take the Fins to cover and the OVER.

Score: New England Patriots 28 – Miami Dolphins 23
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