Jay Cutler will look to get his first career win against the New England Patriots when he leads his Miami Dolphins team into battle against Tom Brady and the Pats in their Week 14 matchup that gets under on Monday night. Now, let’s find out if the Fins can either pull off the immense upset or cover the huge NFL Week 14 spread as a double-digit home underdog.
New England (10-2) at Miami (5-7) NFL Week 14 Spread & Expert Pick
Dwayne Allen & Eric Lee on the importance of preparation & execution heading into MNF: pic.twitter.com/IAmHbE63Dy
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) 8 de diciembre de 2017
- When: Monday, December 11, 2017, 8:30 PM ET
- Where: Hard Rock Stadium
- TV: ESPN
- Radio: 98.5 FM (New England) / 106.3 FM (Miami)
- Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
- NFL Week 14 Spread: New England Patriots -11 (Over/Under at 47.5)
- Clear: 15°C/59°F
- Humidity: 58%
- Precipitation: 1%
- Cloud Cover: 1%
- Wind: 5 mph NNW
- Stadium Type: Open
Recent Head to Head (Last 10 Games)
- Record: New England Patriots lead 7-3
- Score: New England Patriots 28.30 / Miami Dolphins 16.90
- Rush Yards: New England Patriots 125.40 / Miami Dolphins 88.20
- Pass Attempts: New England Patriots 36.50 / Miami Dolphins 38.80
- Completion Percentage: New England Patriots 61.64 / Miami Dolphins 63.40
- Passing Yards: New England Patriots 251.50 / Miami Dolphins 246.50
- Total Yards: New England Patriots 376.9 / Miami Dolphins 334.7
- Turnovers: New England Patriots 0.80 / Miami Dolphins 2.20
Why Bet the on New England Patriots Odds at -11?
Why bet on the Patriots in this contest? Well, let’s see. There’s the fact that they have a Hall of Fame head coach and quarterback and are the better team in all three phases of the game.
If that’s not enough, the Patriots are also on fire, having won nine consecutive games including their commanding 23-3 win over Buffalo last weekend while covering the chalk as a 7.5-point road favorite.
Tom Brady passed for 238 yards but failed to throw a touchdown pass for the first time since Week 1 while tossing an interception against the Bills, but it didn’t matter as the Patriots got 78 rushing yards and two scores from running back Rex Burkhead in the win. New England’s defense also held Bills quarterback Tyrod Taylor without a TD pass while limiting him to just 65 passing yards.
Sure, New England will be without star tight end Rob Gronkowski after he was suspended for one game by the league for his intentional late hit last week against Tre’Davious White, but it likely won’t matter in this contest against the awful Dolphins, even though head coach Bill Belichick told the media that Gronkowski was in the wrong on that play.
“Some of the things that happened in that game, nobody wants to see,” Belichick said. “Hopefully, it won’t happen again.”
Gronkowski has apologized for his actions, saying they came out of frustration at the referees, who he felt were not calling what should have been defensive holding calls on the Bills.
- Average Score For: 29.00
- Total Yards: 413.08
- Rush Yards: 120.58
- Passing Yards: 292.50
- Average Score Against: 18.58
- Total Yards: 375.67
- Rush Yards: 120.75
- Passing Yards: 254.92
Why Bet on the Miami Dolphins Odds at +11?
Why bet on Miami in this contest? Well, because they’re playing at home and getting 11 points…I guess. While the Fins managed to snap their five-game losing streak last weekend by beating Denver 35-9, I think that’s mostly because the Broncos have clearly quit on this season and put up very little effort last weekend.
While Jay Cutler completed 18 of 31 passes for 235 yards with two touchdowns in the win, he also made sure to toss in a pair of picks as well. This year, Cutler has thrown 15 touchdown passes and 11 interceptions.
“We’re coming together as a team,” Dolphins defensive tackle Jordan Phillips said afterward. “We can only go up from here.”
- Average Score For: 17.42
- Total Yards: 292.59
- Rush Yards: 84.67
- Passing Yards: 207.92
- Average Score Against: 24.83
- Total Yards: 339.92
- Rush Yards: 116.50
- Passing Yards: 223.42
Latest NFL Week 14 Betting Trends
- Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
- Patriots are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England’s last 8 games
- Dolphins are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 games
- Dolphins are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games
Expert Analysis and Prediction
The first thing you need to know about this Week 14 AFC East divisional matchup is that the Miami Dolphins are a complete and utter mess. The Dolphins are a dismal 1-7 in their last eight Monday Night Football games while the NFL Week 14 spread favorites New England has gone 16-3 in its past 19 night games.
“There’s a lot of excitement on Monday nights,” Belichick said. “It’s the only game in town that night. Everyone’s watching.”
I picked New England to beat Miami and cover the NFL Week 14 spread as whopping 17-point favorite two weeks ago and they did just that. This time around, I’m going to urge you to back the Patriots again, this time as an 11-point favorite. The Dolphins are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record and 0-8 ATS in their last eight Monday games. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to know that the Dolphins are in trouble against their far superior AFC East division rivals.
Pick: New England Patriots -11