The Houston Texans don’t play in the AFC East but it almost feels that way in how often they play the New England Patriots. Sunday’s match-up in Foxborough will be the fourth one between the two since 2015. New England has dominated the series, and once again the NFL betting lines.Tom Brady and the gang are huge favorites, so the question is more about the NFL Over/Under at 44. Can they tear up J.J. Watt’s defense?
New England at Houston Week 3 Game Preview & NFL Betting PickNFL Game PassOpening NFL Betting Lines: Patriots -13.5 (44)
Series HistoryLast season, the Patriots and Texans played two times with New England taking a 27-0 victory on Sept. 22 and then a 34-16 win in the Divisional Playoffs. Both of those games were played at Gillette Stadium. QB Jacoby Brissett — now with Indianapolis — made his first NFL start in the 2016 regular season meeting. Overall, the Patriots have met Houston nine times and hold an 8-1 advantage since Houston entered the NFL in 2002. The Patriots are 5-0 overall against the Texans when playing at home.New England’s only loss against Houston was in the final game of the 2009 regular-season when Houston defeated the Patriots 34-27. The Patriots had already clinched the division prior to that game and had little to play for. Thus Tom Brady didn’t play much.
- Total Meetings: 9
- First Meeting: Texans 20 – Patriots 23 (2003)
- Last Meeting: Texans 16 – Patriots 34 (2017)
- All-Time Series: Patriots dominates 8-1
- Largest Margin of Victory: Patriots by 33 points
- Longest Win Streak: Patriots W6
- Current Win Streak: Patriots W6
New England NFL Betting AnalysisThe Pats feast on rookie quarterbacks. Overall, Sunday will mark the 21st game in which a team coached by Bill Belichick faces a rookie quarterback. The Patriots are 15-5 in those games. The Patriots practiced against Watson when the Patriots and Texans got together for two joint workouts in mid-August in West Virginia, and they then faced him in the preseason when he wasn’t particularly sharp, finishing 3-of-10 passing for 102 yards.Watson is somewhat similar to the first rookie quarterback to ever beat a Belichick-coached Patriots team — the Steelers’ Ben Roethlisberger, in 2004. Roethlisberger has always been tough to bring down. The other rookie quarterbacks in the win column are the Jets’ Mark Sanchez (2009), the Browns’ Colt McCoy (2010), the Seahawks’ Russell Wilson (2012) and the Jets’ Geno Smith (2013).Pats tight end Rob Gronkowski exited Week 2 against the Saints with a groin injury but is expected to play. Gronkowski finished with six receptions for a team-high 116 yards and one touchdown. He was charted on the field for 46 offensive snaps. WR Danny Amendola will not play due to concussion.Tom Brady reminded everyone in Week 2 that he’s still amazing by torching the Saints. Another reason for optimism is the Patriots’ stable of running backs, who have combined for a league-best 385 yards from scrimmage this season. James White, Mike Gillislee and Rex Burkhead are all producing early on.
- Average Score For: 31.5
- Total Yards: 463
- Rush Yards: 121.5
- Passing Yards: 341.5
- Average Score Against: 31
- Total Yards: 483
- Rush Yards: 133
- Passing Yards: 350