The undefeated New England Patriots continue their quest for a second straight Super Bowl in Week 5 when they travel to the nation’s capital to take on Washington. The Commanders are in dire straits after starting the season 0-4. Does Washington have any shot of keeping it close versus New England? Check out theNFL odds, analysis, and a free pick for Patriots vs Redskins!
Patriots vs Redskins 2019 NFL Week 5 Lines, Game Preview and Expert Pick
- When: Sunday, Oct. 6 at 1:00pm ET
- Where: FedEx Field Landover, MD
- TV: CBS
- Live Stream: NFL Sunday Ticket
- ATS Odds: Patriots -16
- Over/Under Total Odds: 44
Weather Forecast
- Mostly Cloudy: 24°C/75°F
- Humidity: 61%
- Precipitation: 10%
- Wind: 10 mph S
- Cloud Cover: 66%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Why New England Patriots are a good bet -16?
New England has blitzed through their opponents this season. The Pats are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS based on not only Tom Brady and the offense, but also the defense. Right now, surprisingly, New England ranks first in points allowed per.
Opponents average 6.8 points per game against the New England Patriots. Add in how the Pats are scoring 30.5 points per and we get a massive point spread. However, New England can cover the spread because Washington might be the worst team in the NFL right now.
Team Statistics
Offense:- Total Yards: 362.2
- Passing Yards: 271
- Rushing Yards: 91.2
- Points Scored: 30.5
- Total Yards: 243
- Passing Yards: 181.8
- Rushing Yards: 61.2
- Points Allowed: 6.8
Why Washington Redskins are a good bet +16?
Jay Gruden pulled Case Keenum before the end of the first half in the 3-24 loss to the New York Giants in Week 4. Gruden went with rookie Dwayne Haskins. By doing so, he gave up on the game.
On Sunday, Gruden is likely to go with Colt McCoy. McCoy is a much better game manager than Keenum. Not only that, he’s been with the organization long enough to understand what Gruden wants. That should help Washington keep this game respectable.
Team Statistics
Offense:- Total Yards: 296.2
- Passing Yards: 246.5
- Rushing Yards: 49.8
- Points Scored: 16.5
- Total Yards: 399.2
- Passing Yards: 251.8
- Rushing Yards: 147.5
- Points Allowed: 29.5
NFL Week 5 Betting Trends for Patriots vs Redskins
- Patriots are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 5
- Patriots are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 road games
- Under is 6-0 in Patriots last 6 games following an ATS loss
- Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall
- Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games
- Under is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 home games
Patriots vs Redskins Final NFL Betting Analysis
The biggest issue with backing Washington is what to do with the defense. Colt McCoy, should he start, will most definitely help keep the offense from being as dreadful as it has been. That will provide the Redskins with some normalcy.
However, the defense allows 251.8 passing yards and 147.5 rushing yards per game. The Patriots are going to rush with abandon in this one. Will that lead to a 16-point cover? That’s the thing. New England could play a perfect game and still only win by 14 points.
Still, there’s a strong trend that points to a New England cover. The Pats are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 5. That implies New England starts to tighten the screws in Week 5 every season. It’s hard to lay 16. In this matchup, it’s impossible not to.
NFL Free Pick: New England Patriots -16
