Pittsburgh at Cincinnati NFL Week 13 Odds & Expert Prediction

Posted by Michael Hunt on Friday,December 1, 2017 9:10, EST in

Supposedly the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals are bitter AFC North rivals. Except that Pittsburgh has won five straight and eight of nine in the series – Cincinnati is just 8-23 against the Steelers under Coach Marvin Lewis. MyBookie oddsmakers don’t expect a change in the NFL Week 13 odds for Monday night.

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati NFL Week 13 Odds & Expert Prediction

When: Monday, 8:30 PM ET
Where: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati
TV: ESPN
RadioWDVE-FM 102.5 (Pittsburgh) / 1530 AM (Cincinnati)
Stream Option: NFL Live
Opening NFL Week 13 Odds: Steelers -5.5 (43.5)

Weather Forecast

  • Overcast: 13°C/56°F
  • Humidity: 74%
  • Precipitation: 24%
  • Wind: 10 mph S
  • Cloud Cover: 91%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Last Meeting

Pittsburgh beat Cincinnati 29-14 in Week 7. Ben Roethlisberger threw for 224 yards and two scores. Pittsburgh held the Bengals to 19 yards over the final two quarters, intercepting Andy Dalton twice and sacking him four times. Dalton finished 17 of 30 for 140 yards and the two picks while playing on a twisted ankle. AJ Green had just three catches for 41 yards.  Chris Boswell added a Heinz Field-record five field goals for the Steelers.

Latest NFL Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh’s last 11 games
  • Cincinnati is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games

Why consider the Steelers NFL Week 13 Odds?

The Steelers have won six consecutive games and are tied with New England for the best record in the AFC (9-2). Last week, Pittsburgh defeated Green Bay 31-28 last Sunday night. The Steelers overcame a few deficits to win at the gun on a 53-yard Boswell field goal. Roethlisberger threw four touchdowns but was intercepted twice.

WR Antonio Brown had 10 catches for 169 yards with two touchdowns and running back Le’Veon Bell had 183 scrimmage yards (95 rushing, 88 receiving). Through 11 games this year, Brown has five games with at least 10 receptions and 100 yards, tied for the fourth-most such games in a single season in NFL history. Brown, who also had five such games in 2015, is the first player to accomplish the feat in multiple seasons.

Bell leads the league in both rushing yards (981) and scrimmage yards (1,377) while Brown ranks first in both receptions (80) and receiving yards (1,195). The Steelers are aiming to join the 1991 Dallas Cowboys and 1999 Indianapolis Colts as the only teams in the Super Bowl era to have the league’s leading rusher and receiver.

Since the beginning of the 2013 season, the Bengals have gone 4-11 in primetime games, although they’ve done slightly better against the spread, going 6-8-1. The only bigger lock than a Bengals primetime loss is a Steelers win in December. Since the beginning of the 2014 season, the Steelers have gone a 11-1 in December and 10-2 ATS.

On Monday, Roethlisberger needs 238 yards to become the eighth quarterback in NFL history to reach 50,000 career passing yards. Roethlisberger would become the fifth quarterback to reach 50,000 career passing yards in fewer than 200 games, joining Drew Brees, Peyton Manning, Dan Marino and Tom Brady. Brees did it in a record 183 games. Monday is Big Ben’s 197th.

Team Statistics

Offense:

  • Average Score For: 23.45
  • Total Yards: 367
  • Pass Yards: 262.91
  • Rush Yards: 104.09

Defense:

  • Average Score Against: 17.55
  • Total Yards: 289.18
  • Pass Yards: 193.36
  • Rush Yards: 95.82

Why consider the Bengals NFL Week 13 Odds?

The Cincinnati Bengals have won two games in a row and are seeking to even their record at 6-6. In Week 12, Cincinnati defeated Cleveland 30-16 behind a pair of Dalton touchdown passes. Dalton has seven touchdowns and no interceptions for a 108.8 passer rating in his past three games. He aims for his sixth game in a row without an interception.

Joe Mixon rushed for 114 yards and a touchdown against the Browns, his first career 100-yard rushing game. He added three catches for 51 yards to finish with a career-high 165 scrimmage yards. Mixon, who has 484 rushing yards and 258 receiving yards, is one of three rookies this season (Chiefs’ Kareem Hunt and Saints’ Alvin Kamara) to amass at least 400 rushing yards and 200 receiving yards.

Getting a running game going will be key against the Steelers. The Pittsburgh defense ranks third against the pass, fourth overall and in points against, and seventh against the run. Just twice has opponent has rushed for 100 yards or more against the Steelers. Both Chicago (222) and Jacksonville (231) topped 200 yards. Both the Bears and Jags won.

Are the Bengals a safe bet in Week 13?

Green in the past two home meetings vs. Pittsburgh has 356 receiving yards (178 per game) with two touchdowns. He has 752 receiving yards and four touchdowns in the past seven games at home against the division. Green aims for his third in the row with a touchdown catch on Monday night.

Bengals rookie Carl Lawson, with 7.5 sacks and 5 games left, is within striking distance of the Bengals rookie sack record set by Carlos Dunlap, who had 9.5. Dunlap was inactive for 4 of the first 5 games in his rookie season and did not have a sack until Week 10. His 9.5 sacks came in the final 8 games of the season.

Team Statistics

Offense:

  • Average Score For: 18.09
  • Total Yards: 274.28
  • Pass Yards: 198.64
  • Rush Yards: 75.64

Defense:

  • Average Score Against: 19.55
  • Total Yards: 330.37
  • Pass Yards: 203.82
  • Rush Yards: 126.55

Series History

  • Total Meetings: 96
  • First Meeting: November 2nd, 1970. Three Rivers Stadium. Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Last Meeting: October 22nd, 2017. Heinz Field. Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • All-Time Series: Pittsburgh Steelers 61-35-0
  • Largest Margin of Victory: Cincinnati 42-7 (1988)
  • Longest Win Streak: Pittsburgh 8 (1991-1994)
  • Current Win Streak: Pittsburgh 5 (2015-2017)

Expert Prediction & NFL Week 13 Pick

Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.