Playing at home, the Dolphins should be your NFL Week 11 Betting Pick.

NFL Preseason Odds Miami Dolphins vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Written by on August 22, 2017

No matter what your expectations are for the regular season, all that any fan asks is that their team get through the NFL preseason without getting hit by injuries. In this regard, the preseason has already been a disaster for the Dolphins, as they have lost the services of QB Ryan Tannehill for the year after he damaged a knee in practice. The Dolphins have secured veteran help in the form of Jay Cutler, who they plucked from the TV boot before he was able to make his first live call, but that has not helped the Fins to improve their poor odds to win Super Bowl LII and did not turned Miami into a betting favorite for the coming NFL season. The final two weeks of the preseason will be all about getting Cutler as many reps as possible so that he can shake off the rust and learn the playbook. The outlook is a little brighter in Philadelphia, where the Eagles will be looking for their QB, Carson Wentz, to take a step forward this season. If he can do that, this team has a real shot at being a dark horse this season. The Dolphins and Eagles will hook up in Philly on Thursday night in Week 3 of the NFL preseason.

Analyzing the NFL Preseason Odds Miami Vs Philadelphia

 
  When: Thursday, August 24 at 7 PM EST Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia TV: NFL Network Radio: Sirius XM Radio Live Stream: NFL Game Pass NFL Preseason Odds:  GAMETIME WEATHER Partly Cloudy 25°C/77°F Humidity 43% Precipitation % 0% Cloud Cover 32% Wind 7 mph NW Stadium Type Open

Straight Up Stats

The Dolphins are coming off a decent season where they went 10-7, with the final loss coming in the Wild Card game versus the Steelers. That took them to 24-25 over the past 3 seasons, which included a 10-14 record on the road. They are in as an underdog for this one, which is not good news since they went 6-13 as a road dog over the past 3 seasons. The Eagles started well last season, but the rigors of being an NFL starter eventually caught up with Carson Wentz, and Philly dropped to 7-9, taking their 3-year SU record to 24-24. The Eagles have proven to be a little tougher to beat in their own building, and have put together a 15-9 home record since 2014. They have also been a good bet as the home favorite, going 13-6, which would appear to give them an edge for this one.

NFL Lines Week 3 Preseason Giants at Browns

Point Spread Stats

The Dolphins come into this game as a 3 ½ point underdog. Last season, Miami went 9-7-1 ATS, taking them to 21-27-1 over the past 3 seasons. Miami proved to be a little better ATS when playing on the road, going 11-13 during this stretch. Not so good was their record as a road underdog, as they went just 8-11 in those games. The Philadelphia Eagles were a bit of a coin flip team last NFL Preseason with an 8-8 record ATS. The Eagles were a bit of a coin flip team last season with an 8-8 record ATS. That was very much par for the course for this team, as their ATS record over the past 3 seasons sits at a dead even 24-24. They were better at home, going 14-10 during this period, and were particularly tough as the home favorite, posting a 12-7 record ATS. This is another stat that goes in the favor of the Eagles.

OVER/UNDER Stats

The O/U for this one is set at 42 ½ points. Picking the over in Miami games last season was a good decision, as the Miami Dolphins finished 12-5 O/U, taking their 3-year record to 27-22. The UNDER was more prevalent when the Dolphins played on the road, with those games going 11-13 O/U, which included a 9-10 record as the road underdog. The Eagles were solid offensively last season and managed to go 9-7 O/U, taking their record since 2014 to 28-20. Oddly enough, things were a little lower scoring at home, where their record was 12-12 during this stretch. The OVER won out the day, albeit only just, when the Eagles were a home favorite, with the final number sitting at 10-9.

MIAMI DOLPHINS TEAM STATISTICS

Offensive total yards 331.71 Current Offensive rush yards 110.35 Offensive passing yards 221.35 Average Score For 22.06 Defensive total yards 381.88 Current Defensive rush yards 142.71 Defensive passing yards 239.18 Average Score Against 24.12

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES TEAM STATISTICS

Offensive total yards 337.44 Current Offensive rush yards 113.25 Offensive passing yards 224.19 Average Score For 22.94 Defensive total yards 342.75 Current Defensive rush yards 103.25 Defensive passing yards 239.50 Average Score Against 20.69

NFL Preseason Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I think that this is a game that the Eagles will win and cover quite handily, especially since Jay Cutler is still trying to ease himself back into QB duties. I think this one will fall just under the mark.

Miami Dolphins 14 Philadelphia Eagles 23