NFL Preseason Week 1 Winning ATS Picks

Posted by Peter Brennan on Tuesday,August 8, 2017 10:45, EST in

What could be better than one or two Week 1 expert preseason picks? Why three of course! If you’re looking for NFL preseason Week 1 matchups that are offering plenty of value, then consider your ticket punched because I’ve got a trio of preseason winning ATS picks that should leave you smiling from ear to ear. Hence, make sure to check the current odds for the 2017 NFL preseason and start enjoying the best football action at MyBookie.

The New England Patriots host the rebuilding Jacksonville Jaguars in a contest that looks like a serious mismatch, even for a preseason affair, while the Chicago Bears and ‘foolhardy’ Miami Dolphins will both look to hold down the fort at home in their respective openers. Now, let’s find out where the best value is in all four preseason openers.

NFL Preseason Week 1 Winning ATS Picks

 

 

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-13) at New England Patriots (17-2)

Thursday, August 10 at 7:30 PM ET
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
NFL Preseason Week 1 Odds: New England -5.5 / Total: 41

Analysis: Well, it’s about time the Jacksonville Jaguars got something right! The Jags got rid of Gus Bradley and brought in former head coach Tom Coughlin to run their football operations. Coughlin in turn, hired veteran NFL ‘lifer’ Doug Marrone to lead Jacksonville in a new direction.

The bad news is that they still haven’t figured out that Blake Bortles shouldn’t be the starting quarterback for any team.

Anyway, the Jags will play Bortles for a series or two before turning to veteran backup Chad Henne and third-stringer Brandon Allen, but that’s not what’s most important for Marrone and company right now. Jacksonville is looking to find quality performers on the offensive line, at wide receiver and at linebacker and defensive back on the other side of the ball.

New England Patriots Analysis

New England backups Jimmy Garoppolo and Jacoby Brissett will get the lion’s share of playing time if Tom Brady even sees a series in this meaningless preseason opener. Moreover, New England will mostly be looking at their backup wide receivers, their backup tight end. Head coach Bill Belichick would like some more depth on the offensive line and will be looking at his backup positions on the defensive side of the ball.

It doesn’t matter that the Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and 4-1 ATS in their last five versus the AFC. It doesn’t even matter that the Patriots are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games and an insane 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games overall. The bottom line for this opener is that Garoppolo and Brissett will outplay their counterparts to help the Patriots get the solid preseason win in their opener.

NFL Preseason Week 1 Picks: New England 28 Jacksonville 17

NFL Week 1 Top ATS Picks

Denver Broncos (9-7) at Chicago Bears (3-13)

Thursday, August 10 at 8:00 PM ET
Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois
TV: NFLN
NFL Preseason Week 1 Odds: Pick ‘Em / Total: 36.5

Analysis: For me, the Denver Broncos are the easy pick to get the outright win and ATS cover in this preseason opener for one huge reason. They’ve got two starting quality quarterbacks in Trevor Siemian and Paxton Lynch that are both going to go all-out in order to impress head coach Vance Joseph and win the starting job for the regular season.

Not only that, but Denver’s overpowering defense, even featuring a bunch of backups in this contest, will likely overpower and embarrass veteran Mark Sanchez and No. 2 overall draft pick Mitchell Trubisky once starter Mike Glennon leaves after a series or two at most.

The Broncos are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games while the Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six Thursday games, not that it’ll matter much as Denver rolls!

NFL Preseason Week 1 Picks: Denver 31 Chicago 14

Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins

Thursday, August 10 at 7:00 PM ET
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
NFL Preseason Week 1 Odds: Pick ‘Em / Total: 36.5

Analysis: The season hasn’t even started yet, but the Miami Dolphins are already looking like a foolhardy franchise to me after rushing out to sign cry-baby quitter Jay Cutler out of the TV booth after uninspiring starter Ryan Tannehill went down, possibly for the entire season with an apparent ACL injury earlier this week.

Cutler could see action in this NFL Preseason Week 1 opener after Miami starts veteran Matt Moore.

Now, Cutler could see action in this preseason opener after Miami starts veteran Matt Moore, but I don’t expect either to outplay Matt Ryan for the two series of action he’ll likely see – or veteran backup Matt Schaub for that matter. The Dolphins will be looking to find some quality backups at the wide receiver position, the offensive line, and linebacker in the secondary.

Atlanta Falcons Analysis

The Falcons would like nothing better than to get the bad taste left in their mouths from their Super Bowl collapse gone and that starts with a win in this mostly meaningless game for the reigning NFC champions. Matt Ryan will play one or two series if that, but it won’t matter much, the Falcons are loaded on offense. Atlanta will be mostly looking to find some quality defensive players on the defensive line, at linebacker and in the secondary.

The Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games while the Dolphins are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games. Miami deserves to lose this game after passing up on the blackballed Colin Kaepernick in favor of a guy that quit on his team several times in his career and never showed any heart or leadership when he did play!

NFL Preseason Week 1 Picks: Atlanta 27 Miami 23