Patriots hostHost Rams in Week 13 NFL Betting Mismatch

Posted by D.Zamzack on Saturday,December 3, 2016 3:07, EDT in

Tom Brady and the New England Patriots will host rookie quarterback Jared Goff and the Los Angeles Rams in a week 13 mismatch that has the look of a virtual lock. However, with the news that the Pats will be without all-world tight end Rob Gronkowski, getting the ATS cover may not be etched in stone. Now, let’s review MyBookie betting lines and find out if the Rams can cover the spread.

Los Angeles Rams (4-7) at New England Patriots (9-2) Odds & Game Info

When: Sunday, December 4, 2016 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Gillette Stadium
TV: FOX
NFL Odds: New England Patriots -13
Over/Under: 44.5

 

Why Bet on the Los Angeles Rams

The Rams have lost of their last seven games and come into this contest off a humbling 49-21 blowout at the hands of Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints last weekend while never coming close to covering the spread as a 7.5-point underdog.

In two starts this season, rookie quarterback Jared Goff is completing a modest 58.7 percent of his passes for 348 yards. Wide receivers Kenny Britt and Brian Quick have combined for over 1,200 receiving yards and seven touchdowns, but gifted running back Todd Gurley, the 2015 Offensive Rookie of the Year, has been largely grounded this season in rushing. The Rams are limiting their opponents to just 21.5 points per game to rank a solid 12th in points allowed, but are averaging a pitiful 15.5 points per game to rank dead last in scoring.

 

Why Bet on the New England Patriots

The Patriots have won two in a row including their hard-fought 22-17 win over the division rival Jets last weekend despite failing to cover the spread as a 9.5-point favorite. Future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady is completing a stellar 68.4 percent of his passes for 2,201 yards with 18 touchdowns and one interception.

Veteran wide receiver Julian Edelman and veteran tight end Martellus Bennett have combined for 1,157 receiving yards and six touchdowns while running back LeGarrette Blount has rushed for a team-high 869 yards and a dozen touchdowns. New England is ranked sixth in scoring at 26.6 points per game while ranking an even more impressive third in points allowed (17.9 ppg).

Expert Prediction and Final Score Pick

The Los Angeles Rams are offensively inept and that makes their stout defense stay on the field too long and not be nearly as effective as they could be were they more well-rested. The Rams are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. Conversely, the Patriots are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Tom Brady and the Patriots are rolling right along and are ranked sixth in scoring (26.6  ppg) and a stellar third in points allowed (17.9 ppg). If the Patriots don’t have this game well in hand by the start of the third quarter, I’ll be completely stunned.

Pick: New England 31 L.A. Rams 17