Rams vs Saints NFL Week 9 Spread & Betting Analysis

Rams vs Saints NFL Week 9 Spread & Betting Analysis

Written by on November 1, 2018

Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints will host Jared Goff and the unbeaten Los Angeles Rams in a huge Week 9 matchup of NFC Super Bowl favorites that looks like a thriller just waiting to happen. If you’re a pro football betting aficionado that is looking to find out which team is offering the best betting value in this matchup, then let’s get to my expert NFL Week 9 pick right now.

Rams vs Saints NFL Week 9 Spread & Betting Analysis

Weather Forecast

  • Chance of Thunderstorm: 23°C/74°F
  • Humidity: 74%
  • Precipitation: 34%
  • Wind: 11 mph ESE
  • Cloud Cover: 58%
  • Type of Stadium: Indoor

Why Bet On The Los Angeles Rams?

Why should you bet on the Rams to get the road upset in this contest? Well, there are a bunch of great reasons MYBookie NFL betting buffs. By now, you probably already know that Los Angeles has answered the call each and every time this season, and they’ve been tested a couple of times too, so it’s not like they’ve simply rolled over a bunch of awful teams.

Case in point, the Rams moved to a perfect 8-0 by getting past Green Bay 29-27 in a hard-fought brawl this past weekend as Jared Goff passed for 295 yards and three touchdowns while Todd Gurley added 114 rushing yards on 25 carries and 81 receiving yards and one touchdown on six catches. Another great reason to back the Rams is that they’ve had the far better defense from the start of this season and an offense that can match New Orleans’.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 33
  • Total Yards: 441.63
  • Pass Yards: 290.75
  • Rush Yards: 150.88
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 19.38
  • Total Yards: 128.45
  • Pass Yards: 100.88
  • Rush Yards: 27.57

Why Bet On The New Orleans Saints?

Why should you bet on New Orleans in this huge Week 9 showdown? Again, there are a bunch of great reasons. First, the Saints are playing at home and it’s always difficult to go into the dome and beat the Saints in the Big Easy. Next, New Orleans has the slightly better offense, statistically speaking – and the big edge at quarterback, even if Jared Goff does look really good these days.

Then there’s the fact that the Saints are playing some really good defense over the last month or so. Last but not least, New Orleans is playing their best football of the season right now, having won six straight games while beating three straight teams with winning records the last three times out, including their convincing 30-20 road win over Minnesota last weekend as cornerback P.J. Williams recorded a 45-yard pick against Kirk Cousins and the Saints got two touchdowns from running back Alvin Kamara.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 33.43
  • Total Yards: 389.86
  • Pass Yards: 281.86
  • Rush Yards: 108
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 26.14
  • Total Yards: 374.14
  • Pass Yards: 300
  • Rush Yards: 74.14

Rams vs Saints NFL Week 9 Betting Trends

  • LA Rams are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 games
  • LA Rams are 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went UNDER in 6 of the LA Rams’s last 9 games
  • New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games
  • New Orleans is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 6 games

Expert Betting Prediction for Rams vs Saints

First, let me just say that I’m completely and utterly fired up for this contest. The Rams are putting up a stupendous 33.0 points per game while limiting their opponents to just 19.4 points per contest defensively. New Orleans is averaging an even more impressive 33.4 points per game to rank second in scoring to Kansas City. While the Saints are also allowing 26.1 points per game this season, they’ve also gotten a lot stingier recently in limiting each of their last four opponents to just 20.0 points per contest.

Los Angeles has gone 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an SU win while the Saints have gone 5-0 ATS in their last five games, 19–7 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win and a stellar 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games following an ATS win. Whether this game turns into a low-scoring affair, a high-scoring shootout or something in between, I like Brees and the Saints to get narrowly past Goff and the Rams to cover the spread as a very manageable 1-point home favorite in an absolute thriller!

NFL Week 9 Pick: Saints 31 Rams 28

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