Ravens vs Chiefs NFL Week 14 Odds & Expert Pick.

Ravens vs Chiefs NFL Week 14 Odds & Expert Pick

Written by on December 4, 2018

There are just 4 weeks left to play in the NFL regular season and still an awful lot left to be decided. It goes without saying that the final month before the playoffs begin is going to be critical for those still in the hunt. A loss now could very well be the difference between being in or out, or perhaps securing a bye in the opening round. Those are a pair of scenarios that we are looking at in this match-up, as both of these teams would be in if the playoffs were to start today.

The Kansas City Chiefs are very much in the running for one of the two top spots in the AFC, while the Baltimore Ravens, who are currently in as a Wild Card, still have a shot at running down the Steelers in the North and moving up, potentially into a first-round home game. Both of these teams are in a fine run of form but expect to see a battle between KC’s great offense and the Ravens killer D. The Chiefs are currently a 7-point favorite, with the point total set at 53.

Ravens vs Chiefs NFL Week 14 Odds & Expert Pick

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Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: -2°C/29°F
  • Humidity: 45%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 40%
  • Wind: 7 mph NNW
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why bet on the Baltimore Ravens?

Let’s be totally honest here in saying that the Raven playoff hopes looked to be in serious trouble just 3 short weeks ago. At that time, they were a game below .500 and looking at playing without their starting QB for the foreseeable future. Jump ahead 3 weeks and you have a team on a 3-game win streak with a rookie QB at the helm.

While it has certainly been an impressive run for Lamar Jackson and the Ravens, we should pay attention to the fact that the 3 wins have come against teams who will not be anywhere near the playoffs this season. This will be the first real test for Baltimore with the rookie under center, and it’s a tough one. The Ravens have won 4 of the last 6 games they have played in KC and are 4-1 SU in their last 5 meetings with the Chiefs overall, but those came with a proven NFL starter under center.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 24.75
  • Total Yards: 373.92
  • Rush Yards: 129.00
  • Passing Yards: 244.92
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 17.83
  • Total Yards: 281.67
  • Rush Yards: 87.25
  • Passing Yards: 194.42

Why bet on the Kansas City Chiefs?

Similar to the Ravens, the Chiefs are going to have themselves a serious test, as this is arguably the best defense that they will have faced all season. On the plus side, no team has been able to keep Mahomes and that offense under control all season long, which suggests that KC is still going to be able to put some points up on the board.

Ravens vs Chiefs should be a battle.

Perhaps the most notable stat coming into this weekend is that the Chiefs are a perfect 5-0 at Arrowhead this season. They are 5-3 ATS as the favorite this season and 3-2 ATS in those home games. Overall, though, the Chiefs are a very impressive 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games, so they look to be a good bet here. 

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 37.00
  • Total Yards: 437.17
  • Rush Yards: 120.67
  • Passing Yards: 316.50
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 27.25
  • Total Yards: 417.00
  • Rush Yards: 122.00
  • Passing Yards: 295.00

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Ravens vs Chiefs NFL Week 14 Betting Trends

  • Baltimore is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games on the road
  • Kansas City is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
  • Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City’s last 10 games at home

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Ravens vs Chiefs

When looking at this one, the question you may need to ask is which of the two young QB’s you prefer to get the job done. Mahomes has the larger body of work and looks to be close to unstoppable, which is why I like KC.

Score: Baltimore Ravens 20 – Kansas City Chiefs 31
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