After getting a drama-squashing win last weekend, Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers will look to record consecutive victories when they host Joe Flacco and the visiting Baltimore Ravens in an intriguing Week 4 AFC North divisional battle. Baltimore will also be looking to extend their own winning ways after laying a convincing beat-down on their NFL Week 3 opponents.
If you’re looking to cash in on this NFL Week 4 battle and you want to know which team is offering the best betting value, let’s get to my expert ATS pick right now.
Ravens at Steelers NFL Week 4 Spread & Prediction
When: Sunday, September 30, 2018 at 8:20 PM ETWhere: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PennsylvaniaTV: NBCRadio: Baltimore / PittsburghLive Stream: NFL LiveNFL Week 4 Odds: Pittsburgh -3 / Total: 50.5
“If Suggs gets close to me I’m asking for a flag.” 😂Ravens and Steelers talk roughing the passer: pic.twitter.com/BQ6Xy9gfLZ— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) September 26, 2018
- Clear: 19°C/67°F
- Humidity: 74%
- Precipitation: 4%
- Wind: 3 mph SE
- Cloud Cover: 6%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Why Bet On The Baltimore Ravens?
Why should you bet on the Ravens in Week 4? Well, the best reason to back Baltimore is that they’ve covered the spread against the Steelers consistently. Another great reason is because the Ravens have an excellent defense.
Baltimore smacked Denver around in its 27-14 Week 3 win last weekend to cash in as a 5.5-point home favorite. Veteran signal-caller Joe Flacco completed 25 of 40 passes for 277 yards with one touchdown – and more importantly – avoided being sacked a by superstar Broncos linebacker Von Miller in the win.
“He’s able to get in there and make a ton of plays and change a game when you look at him on film,” Flacco said. “That was the biggest thing, just not letting him be a factor.”
Running backs Alex Collins and Javorius Allen added rushing touchdowns and Allen also caught Flacco’s lone TD toss.
“That’s a stout run defense. We kept hammering in there and bled some yards,” Ravens coach John Harbaugh said. “But our pass protection really stepped up and did a great job.”
- Average Score For: 32.33
- Total Yards: 378.68
- Pass Yards: 292
- Rush Yards: 86.67
- Average Score Against: 17
- Total Yards: 273
- Pass Yards: 169.33
- Rush Yards: 103.67
Why Bet On The Pittsburgh Steelers?
Why should you bet on the Steelers in this AFC North divisional battle. The best reason to back the Steelers in this contest is because they’re playing at home. Throw in a bit of desperation and some momentum after winning last weekend and the Steelers look like a solid pick in this affair.
Pittsburgh rebounded from their shocking 42-37 Week 2 loss against the explosive Kansas City Chiefs to narrowly get past the previously unbeaten Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30-27 on Monday night while covering the chalk as a 1-point road dog. Veteran quarterback Ben Roethlisberger completed 30 of 38 passes for 353 yards with three touchdowns and one interception. The win not only was Pittsburgh’s first in three games, but it also killed a bunch of drama surrounding the team because of the ongoing contract saga surrounding star running back Le’Veon Bell and headline-making social media posts early last week from star wide receiver Antonio Brown.
Veteran tight end Vance McDonald had four catches for 112 yards, including a 75-yard touchdown catch. Second-year wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster caught a team-high nine passes for 116 yards while Brown and Ryan Switzer chipped in with first-half TD grabs. Defensively, the Steelers harassed red-hot Tampa Bay quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick into three first-half interceptions.
- Average Score For: 29.33
- Total Yards: 453.33
- Pass Yards: 363.33
- Rush Yards: 90
- Average Score Against: 30
- Total Yards: 410.33
- Pass Yards: 288
- Rush Yards: 122.33
Ravens at Steelers NFL Week 4 Betting Trends
- Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
- Baltimore is 7-3 SU in the last 10 games
- The total went OVER in 10 of Baltimore’s last 15 games
- Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games
- Pittsburgh is 11-3-1 SU in the last 15 games
- The total went OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games
Expert Analysis and Prediction
While it’s apparent that Pittsburgh has some issues they need to address moving forward before they can start living up to their preseason billing as a legitimate AFC Championship favorite, the Steelers have also won three straight against Baltimore, plus I love the fact that Ben Roethlisberger and company are desperate – and focused – after their slow, drama-filled start.
Despite their winning record right now, I’m also not very convinced that Baltimore is anything but mediocre. I mean, Baltimore has beaten the lowly Buffalo Bills to win one game and they got past a Broncos team that has watched quarterback Case Keenum underachieve in a big way since signing with Denver to be their starter in the offseason.
While Baltimore has gone 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Pittsburgh and the underdog in this rivalry is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings, the ravens have also gone an uninspiring 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 Week 4 games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a losing record. Even with their blemishes, I like the Steelers to win and narrowly cover the chalk.
NFL Week 4 Pick: Pittsburgh 28 Baltimore 24