Redskins vs Dolphins 2019 NFL Week 6 Spread & Betting Analysis

Redskins vs Dolphins 2019 NFL Week 6 Spread & Betting Analysis

Written by on October 8, 2019

The Washington Redskins will be on the road to take on the Miami Dolphins in a Week 6 matchup of winless teams that will both be looking for their first win of the season. Can the Fins take care of business after getting a bye last weekend or will the Redskins show up with a good effort under interim head coach Bill Callahan after finally parting ways with Jay Gruden this week? Let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their NFL odds in this now, intriguing pairing.

Redskins vs Dolphins 2019 NFL Week 6 Spread & Betting Analysis

Weather Forecast

  • Mostly Sunny: 30°C/86°F
  • Humidity: 64%
  • Precipitation: 10%
  • Wind: 13 mph ENE
  • Cloud Cover: 35%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On Washington?

There are a couple of reasons why the Skins look like they could get their first win of the season while covering the spread as a slight road favorite, starting with the fact that Miami is ranked dead last in scoring (6.5 ppg) and points allowed (40.8 ppg). Then, there’s the fact that Washington almost couldn’t be any worse under Bill Callahan than they were under former head coach Jay Gruden.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 14.60
  • Total Yards: 281
  • Pass Yards: 212.20
  • Rush Yards: 68.80
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 30.20
  • Total Yards: 407.80
  • Pass Yards: 263.80
  • Rush Yards: 144

Why Bet On Miami?

Despite the fact that the Dolphins have clearly been the worst team in the league since the 2019 campaign kicked off, the Dolphins look like they could cover the chalk in this contest because Washington has scored seven points or less in each of their last two games. Then, there’s the fact that Miami has looked a lot better with Josh Rosen under center than they did with veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick as their starter. The Fins actually looked competent in the first half of each of their last two games before eventually succumbing in the second half.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 6.50
  • Total Yards:
  • Pass Yards: 173.25
  • Rush Yards: 51.75
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 40.75
  • Total Yards:
  • Pass Yards: 296.25
  • Rush Yards: 176.25

NFL Week 6 Betting Trends for Redskins vs Dolphins

  • Washington are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Washington are 0-7 SU in the last 7 games
  • The total went UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 7 games against an opponent in the AFC conference
  • Dolphins are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 games following a straight up loss
  • Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 home games
  • The total went UNDER in 8 of Miami’s last 12 games

Redskins vs Dolphins Expert Analysis and Prediction

While I’m definitely expecting to see a rejuvenated Washington team take to the gridiron in this contest, I’m thinking this is a contest that Miami could and will win by the narrowest of margins. I know the numbers in this matchup seemingly point to a narrow win for the Skins, but Washington has a bunch of problems on both sides of the ball that run a lot deeper than simply firing Jay Gruden could fix. Not only that, but I believe Miami’s Josh Rosen is the best quarterback in this pairing and that he’ll have arguably his best game in his young career. Miami might be 0-7 ATS in their last seven games, but Washington’s 0-4 ATS mark in their last four games isn’t very encouraging. I’m going with the lowly Fins for the ‘upset’ win in this Week 6 matchup.

Pick: Miami 23 Washington 21

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