Do we have a new Super Bowl favorite? The New Orleans Saints were very impressive Sunday in knocking the Rams from the ranks of the unbeaten and the road to the NFC title now clearly goes through the Big Easy. However, the Saints better be wary of a letdown Sunday against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Saints are road NFL betting favorites.
Saints vs Bengals NFL Week 10 Spread & Expert Prediction
- When: Thursday, 1 PM ET
- Where: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati
- TV: Fox
- Radio: SiriusXM/NFL
- Live Stream: NFL League Pass
- NFL Week 10 Spread: New Orleans Saints -4 (Total 54)
- Overcast: 7°C/44°F
- Humidity: 56%
- Precipitation: 0%
- Cloud Cover: 81%
- Wind: 8 mph SSW
- Stadium Type: Open
Last MeetingThe Saints hosted the Bengals in 2014 and Cincinnati won 27-10. Andy Dalton was 16 of 22 for 220 yards, did not throw an interception, had three TDs and finished with a passer rating of 143.9. Two of Dalton’s touchdown passes went to tight end Jermaine Gresham. The other was a pinpoint 24-yard pass along the left sideline to AJ Green, who had six catches for 127 yards. The Saints also struggled to stop Jeremy Hill, who carried 27 times for 152 yards. Drew Brees passed for 255 yards, including a 9-yard TD to Kenny Stills on the first play of the fourth quarter.
Why Bet on New Orleans?The Saints won a really exciting 45-35 shootout over the unbeaten Rams on Sunday. Drew Brees passed for 346 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions for a 137 passer rating and wide receiver Michael Thomas had a franchise-record 211 receiving yards, including a 72-yard touchdown catch in the fourth quarter, in the Saints’ 45-35 win over the Los Angeles Rams.Brees has 22 career games with at least four touchdown passes and zero interceptions, tied with New England’s Tom Brady (22) for the most such games by a quarterback in NFL history.Thomas’ 211 receiving yards are the most in a single game in Saints’ history, surpassing the previous high of 205 set by Wes Chandler on September 2, 1979, against Atlanta. He is the third Saint to record 200+ receiving yards in a single game, joining Chandler and Torrance Small (200 on December 24, 1994, at Denver). Thomas is on pace for 140 catches with an absurd 88.6 catch rate.Alvin Kamara rushed 19 times for 82 yards and two touchdowns and hauled in 4-of-5 targets for 34 yards and another score. Even with Mark Ingram back, Kamara now has six touchdowns in his last three games. In fact, it was his third three-touchdown performance of the season, which put him in extremely rare air.Kamara joined Jim Brown as the only players in NFL history with three three-touchdown performances in a season at the age of 23 or under. (Brown went on to win the NFL MVP award when he did it in 1958). Kamara has 917 yards from scrimmage and 12 touchdowns in just eight games this season.Mark Ingram rushed nine times for 33 yards and caught 1-of-2 targets for three yards. Ingram has not scored since finding the end zone twice in his first game back, and he has averaged just 57 total yards since the bye.
Why Bet on Cincinnati?The Bengals were off last week. They stopped a two-game losing streak in Week 8 with a 37-34 win over Tampa Bay. Andy Dalton completed 21-of-34 passes for 280 yards and two touchdowns. Dalton dominated in the first half with scoring throws to A.J. Green (17 yards) and Tyler Boyd (7 yards), then went in the tank in the final two quarters as Tampa Bay rallied back before Bengals K Randy Bullock clinched the win with a last-second field goal.Cincinnati couldn’t hold a 27-6 lead set up by a big first half. Joe Mixon ran for 114 yards in the half and scored on runs of 1 and 8 yards. Tyler Boyd had six catches for 112 yards, including a 9-yard touchdown.Some bad news for the Bengals, though, regarding Green. He has a toe injury and won’t need surgery but is expected to miss a few games. Green injured his toe after he made an 11-yard catch over the middle with 17 seconds left in a tie game against the Buccaneers. He limped off after the play and pointed to his toe.He took off his shoe as soon as he got to the sideline, and athletic trainers came over to assess him. The Bengals promoted wide receiver Auden Tate from the practice squad on Monday in Green’s absence. Tate, a 2018 seventh-round pick out of Florida State, has not played this season.The Bengals lead the NFL in red-zone touchdowns on 19 of 25 trips with a new offense and an improved line. Over the past 10 seasons, more than 74 percent of the NFL’s offensive touchdowns were scored inside the 20, which is why coordinators like Bill Lazor pound the red-zone area in practice.After encountering a sophomore slump in 2017, Tyler Boyd has bounced back and is looking like a Pro Bowl wide receiver. He leads the Bengals with 49 catches and ranks second on the team with 620 yards and five touchdowns. He also ranks in the NFL’s Top 15 in receptions, yards and touchdowns.
Saints vs Bengals NFL Week 10 Betting Trends
- Saints are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS win
- Saints are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games
- Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game
- Bengals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
- New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans’s last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
- Cincinnati is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 9 games