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On Sunday, a couple of 1-1 teams hit the gridiron for one of the week’s most intriguing matchups. Sean Payton and Jameis Winston lead the New Orleans Saints to New England to take on Bill Belichick, Mac Jones and the Patriots. Which team will go one game above .500? Keep reading for NFL odds, analysis, and a free pick for Saints versus Patriots.

NFL Betting Preview for Saints vs Patriots

NFL Week 3: New Orleans Saints at New England

When: Sunday, Sep. 26 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
TV / Streaming: FOX / Fox Sports
ATS Odds: New England -3
Moneyline Odds: New Orleans +135 / New England -160
Over/Under Odds: 43

Why bet on New Orleans versus New England?

The Saints head into week 3 off a terrible 7-26 loss to NFC South rival Carolina. But although the Panthers trounced the Saints, a question remains whether the loss was due to New Orleans’ play on the field or whether it was more a question of Winston not communicating with his offensive line and Sean Payton having a bad game plan. Either way, it’s difficult to see the Saints not bouncing back from such a bad loss.

New Orleans Saints Offensive Averages

Total Yards: 225.0

Passing Yards: 115.5

Rushing Yards: 109.5

Points Scored: 22.5

Turnovers: 2

New Orleans Saints Defensive Averages

Total Yards: 306.0

Passing Yards: 240.0

Rushing Yards: 66.0

Points Scored: 14.5

Takeaways: 4

Why bet on New England versus New Orleans?

After a couple of games, the Patriots allow a low 11.5 points per. The defense faces a struggling Saints offense that ranks thirty-second in total yards per game. Mac Jones won’t have to be great if the defense does it’s job. All Jones will have to do is run the offense and not make a mistake. In 2 games, the former Alabama quarterback has proven he can do that.

New England Patriots Offensive Averages

Total Yards: 326.5

Passing Yards: 213.5

Rushing Yards: 113.0

Points Scored: 20.5

Turnovers: 2

New England Patriots Defensive Averages

Total Yards: 297.5

Passing Yards: 184.5

Rushing Yards: 113.0

Points Scored: 11.5

Takeaways: 5

Saints at Patriots Relevant Trends

Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in week 3
New Orleans is 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as a road underdog
Under is 5-0 in the Saints last 5 games
Patriots are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win
New England is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite
Under is 6-1 in the Patriots last 7 home games

New Orleans Saints versus New England Patriots Final Betting Prediction

This is a tough game to handicap. On one side, the Saints looked awful in the loss to the Panthers. On the other, the Patriots looked great in the victory over the New York Jets.

But one things stands out for both teams. New England’s offense isn’t much better than New Orleans’, which leads to the conclusion that if we believe Winston and Payton about New Orleans’ struggles against the Panthers, the Saints have the edge.

Man to man, New Orleans remains the more talented team. We must assume Payton and Winston are working hard this week to fix the issues.

Expect Payton to open the offense. Winston has a gun for an arm. The only way to win games is for New Orleans to be more aggressive because injuries have hit key defenders.

Mac Jones hasn’t shown he can win a shootout. So if we’re right and Payton unleashes Winston’s big arm, the Saints could win this on the moneyline in an over game. Saints straight up is the play.

NFL Week 3 Pick: Saints moneyline

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