San Diego At Indianapolis Week 3 NFL Expert Picks

Posted by Joe Solari on September 24, 2016 in

Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts have been installed as slight NFL betting favorites in their Week 3 showdown against the San Diego Chargers this Sunday. But with a 0-2 record and a mistake-filled defense, the Colts find themselves in a very precarious position in the NFL lines, especially now that they will be going against a highly-motivated Chargers team that is coming off a morale-boosting 38-15 rout of the Jacksonville Jaguars. Will the Colts hold steady as betting favorites, or will the Chargers come through with the NFL odds upset? Read on as we break it down in the online sportsbetting preview prepared for you below.

Here’s a Closer Look At The Chargers At Colts Week 3 NFL Expert Picks

Where: Lucas Oil Stadium – Indianapolis, Indiana
When: Sunday, September 25, 4:25 PM ET
Live Stream: CBS Sports Network
NFL Lines: Indianapolis (-2.5), OVER/UNDER 51



Why Bet on the Chargers

The San Diego Chargers seemingly learnt from their Week 1 defensive mistakes, where they had a comfortable halftime lead at Kansas City, only to throw away the advantage in the second half and lose in overtime to the Chiefs. In Week 2, the Chargers led at halftime against the Jaguars and never looked back, delivering a comfortable win and cover for a 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS mark on the season. Dating back to last season, the Chargers have now covered the spread in each of their last five games, with the Philip Rivers-led offense particularly showing strongly in that stretch. More than that, Rivers has had received some much-needed help from up-surging RB Melvin Gordon, who followed his two-TD performance in Week 1 with his first career 100-yarder against the Jags last week. San Diego has a number of things to clean up in it defense that is allowing 23.50 PPG this season, but if Rivers and his offense (32.50 PPG scoring) continues to put up big points and yardages, the Chargers should do just fine and keep on winning, including this Sunday.

Why Bet on the Colts

There’s plenty of blame to go around in Indianapolis, starting from the coaching staff to the players, but the blatant truth is that the Colts’ poor start to the season is down to their NFL worst defense that is giving up a ridiculous 36.50 points per game this season. Luck, who threw for 385 yards and four TDs in the 39-35 loss to Detroit in Week 1, may continue finding his receivers using his big arms, but as long as the defense does not improve, it will all end up in futility. The onus here will therefore be on head coach Chuck Pagano to find quick ways of patching up his defense so as to give Luck and his offense (27.50 PPG scoring this season) a winning chance this Sunday.

Expert NFL Predictions and Picks

The fact that Luck is listed as questionable for this game doesn’t bode well for the Colts, who are pretty much nothing without their QB. I mean, even if Luck starts on Sunday, he will most not be 100% healthy, so his efficiency can’t be guaranteed As if that is not bad enough, Rivers keeps on finding new targets even with the injury bug taking away some of his most trustworthy weapons, and Gordon is on the verge of a breakout season. Throw in Indy’s weak defense that can’t stop a wet a toilet paper; an upset could easily be in the books for the Colts this Sunday in a possible high-scoring contest. After all San Diego is 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS in last 10 overall meetings against Indianapolis, including three straight wins (3-0 SU) in the last three meetings and a 7-1 ATS mark in the last 8 meetings against the Colts.

Predicted Final Score: San Diego 30, Indianapolis Colts 27

Writer’s Picks: San Diego (+2.5) / OVER 51