You shouldn't include the Eagles in your NFL Future Bets, at least not right now.

Sunday Night Football: Eagles at Cowboys Week 11 NFL Odds & Preview

Written by on November 17, 2017

The Dallas Cowboys (5-4) are the defending NFC East champions. But already three games back of the first-place Philadelphia Eagles (8-1), Dallas will all but be eliminated from the division race in the Sunday night game in Week 11. The Eagles are rare NFL odds road favorites in Big D.

Sunday Night Football: Eagles at Cowboys Week 11 NFL Odds & Preview

When: Sunday, 8:30 PM ETWhere: AT&T Stadium, ArlingtonTV: NBCRadioSportsRadio 94WIP (Philadelphia) / KRLD-FM 105.3 (Dallas)Stream Option: NFL LiveOpening NFL Odds: Eagles -3.5 (48)

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 9°C/48°F
  • Humidity: 51%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 2 mph E
  • Cloud Cover: 2%
  • Type of Stadium: Retractable

Last Meeting

The teams split last year, each winning at home. In the game in Dallas, the Eagles held a 23-13 advantage during the early minutes of the fourth quarter. A few bad spells on offense and lapses on defense allowed the Cowboys to force overtime. The Eagles never got the ball in OT as Dallas’ Jason Witten ended the game with a touchdown catch from Dak Prescott.

Latest NFL Odds Trends

  • Eagles are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Eagles are 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games
  • Cowboys are 2-4 ATS in the last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
  • Cowboys are 18-7 SU in the last 25 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’s last 6 games

Why Bet On Philadelphia?

Philly definitely isn’t to win in Dallas often, but when they are, they almost always win. Since 2000, the Eagles have only been favored to win in Dallas a total of eight times, and they’ve gone 7-1 straight up in those games (5-3 ATS). This year, Eagle are 7-2 ATS, which is tied for the top mark in the NFL. This is the fifth time in franchise history the Eagles have started a season 8-1 or better (1949, 1960, 1980 and 2004) and the team advanced to the NFL Championship/Super Bowl in each of the previous four instances.The Philadelphia Eagles are also well-rested coming off their bye and with the NFL’s best record. Eagles QB Carson Wentz, the NFL MVP favorite, threw four touchdown passes in the Eagles’ 51-23 win against Denver in Week 9, his third career game with at least four touchdown passes. At Dallas, Wentz can tie Fran Tarkenton (four) for the second-most games with at least four touchdown passes in a player’s first two seasons in NFL history.Wentz leads the NFL with 23 touchdown passes and his 104.1 passer rating tops the NFC. Wentz’s 23 touchdown passes are the most by an Eagle in the team’s first nine games to start a season in franchise history. The Eagles lead the league in big plays, with 137 of at least 10 yards or more. In two games against Dallas, Carson Wentz has thrown for 447 yards while completing 68 percent of his passes and three touchdowns.Eagles top WR Alshon Jeffery was limited in practice this week but said he will “most definitely” play against the Cowboys. Jeffery has 34 catches for 500 yards and five touchdowns this season. He is coming off a two-touchdown performance against the Broncos. Tight end Zach Ertz missed Week 9 with an injury but will play.  Last time Ertz played Dallas, he racked up 139 yards and two touchdowns in the Eagles’ season-ending New Year’s Day victory.Paired up with nose tackle Timmy Jernigan, Fletcher Cox has the Eagles’ defense playing as dominant as any unit in the league. Philly ranks first in rush defense, allowing 66.4 yards per game. They also stuff the run in short-yardage rather well, ranking first in third-and-1 and fourth-and-1 conversions, allowing only 33.3 percent of the attempts

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 31.44
  • Total Yards: 377
  • Pass Yards: 240.22
  • Rush Yards: 136.78
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 19.89
  • Total Yards: 315.88
  • Pass Yards: 249.44
  • Rush Yards: 66.44

Why Bet On Dallas?

Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott is one of only four players since the 1970 merger to account for at least 50 touchdowns in his first 25 career NFL games. Prescott has passed for 39 touchdowns and rushed for 11 TDs in his first 25 career games and has led the Cowboys to an 18-7 record during that span. Prescott’s 11 rushing touchdowns are the most by a quarterback since the start of the 2016 season.The most important trait for Prescott, however, is his ability to protect the ball. He has eight interceptions in 748 pass attempts. Over the past two seasons, only Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers have a better touchdown-to-interception ratio than Prescott. He enters Sunday’s game against the Eagles with a streak of 119 passes without an interception. It’s the fourth streak of at least 100 pass attempts without an interception.Of course, this game is in primetime, which is one place where the Cowboys have dominated. Since Prescott became quarterback in 2016, the Cowboys have gone 7-1 in night games (5-3 ATS).Are the Cowboys a safe bet at home in Week 11?Dallas will be without three of its best players in running back Ezekiel Elliott, suspended the next five games, left tackle Tyron Smith and middle linebacker Sean Lee. Without Smith last week, Prescott was sacked a career-high eight times vs. Atlanta. Byron Bell would start at left tackle Sunday after Chaz Green gave up four of those sacks last week. Bell gave up two on the Cowboys’ final two drives. The last time Bell started a game at left tackle came in Week 17 in 2015 with the Tennessee Titans when he took over for Taylor Lewan.With the Eagles using a varied pass rush with four defensive ends recording at least 2.5 sacks (Brandon Graham, Vinny Curry, Derek Barnett and Chris Long), the Cowboys will have to give Bell help this week. When Smith is healthy, the Cowboys rarely slide help to his direction. He has been named to the Pro Bowl every year since 2013.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 25.89
  • Total Yards: 355.23
  • Pass Yards: 211.67
  • Rush Yards: 143.56
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 22.78
  • Total Yards:
  • Pass Yards: 221.22
  • Rush Yards: 104.67

Expert Prediction & Week 11 NFL Pick

I’d buy this down to 2.5 to be safe, but take the Eagles in the NFL odds.
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