Super Bowl LV Touchdown Props Expert Analysis

Super Bowl LV Touchdown Props Expert Analysis

Written by on February 3, 2021

With every Super Bowl comes a deluge of prop options. Super Bowl LV is no different. Not only can you bet on how well Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes and other players perform, you can also bet on Super Bowl MVP, the coin toss, and even possible Gatorade showers. One of the more intriguing group of prop bets on Super Bowl LV are total touchdowns. Check out six of the most interesting Super Bowl Touchdown Props for the big game.

Super Bowl LV: Forget The Game, Bet On How Many Touchdowns

Super Bowl LV – Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • When: Sunday, Feb. 7 at 6:30 pm ET
  • Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
  • Broadcast Net: CBS

Super Bowl LV Touchdown Props

Chiefs Vs Buccaneers – Total TDs By Both Teams

On paper, it looks like were in for a high-scoring Super Bowl. The Kansas City Chiefs average 29.6 points per. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers score 30.8 points each game. The total implies a 60 point game. To reach 60 points, the teams must combine for way more than 6 touchdowns, right?

Yep, but when it comes to the specific matchup, Tampa’s offense versus KC’s defense, and KC’s offense versus the Bucs’ defense, the game could disappoint over bettors. Neither squad will push the pace because neither offense will want to give up the ball.

Not only that, but both defenses have a strength that counters the other squad’s offense. Tampa can guard Travis Kelce with linebacker Devin White. Cornerback Sean Murphy-Bunting got an interception against Washington in the wildcard victory, picked off Drew Brees in the playoff win against the Saints, and also got an INT versus Aaron Rodgers.

Murphy-Bunting can cover Tyreek Hill one-on-one. Tampa’s defensive line has heated up. It sacked Rodgers 5 times in the NFC Championship.

The Buccaneers average less than 95 rushing yards per. Leonard Fournette has rushed the ball well during the playoffs, though. Also, Kansas City’s defense is worse against the rush than it is against the pass.

The game could play out with both Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady taking their time moving the ball down the field. Then when the offense gets into the red zone, there’s no guarantee that each offense will get a TD. 

Touchdown Prop Pick: Under 5.5

Chiefs Vs Buccaneers – Exact # of Touchdowns Score

Exactly 5 total touchdowns feels like a real possibility. The losing team should score two touchdowns. The winning team will grab 3 touchdowns. The odds for 5 TDs are also decent at +420.

Touchdown Prop Pick: 5 TDs

Chiefs Vs Buccaneers – Total TDs Scored 3 Way

At +450, exactly 5 TDs is a decent bet. Laying the -225 on over 5 TDs could prove profitable. But if both squads attempt to control clock knowing how good the opposing team’s defense is, more than 5 touchdowns becomes a problem. Could the teams score less than 5 total TDs? For sure, they could. New England, with Tom Brady at quarterback, beat the Rams 13-3 to win the 2019 Super Bowl and both the Patriots and the Rams were thought of as high-scoring teams. 

Touchdown Prop Pick: Exactly 5 TDs 

Chiefs Vs Buccaneers – Longest Touchdown Scored

Neither team gives up a lot of big plays. Both teams have great corners, meaning they can play man-to-man and shift the free safety to double-team wide receivers on post or fly patterns. 

Touchdown Prop Pick: Under  

Chiefs Vs Buccaneers – Shortest Touchdown Scored

It’s odd that the shortest touchdown scored is under 1.5 yards -155. Unless you’re counting on a goal line TD, the odds should be reversed with the shortest touchdown scored being over 1.5 yards. For now, we’ll take the awesome +120 odds. 

Touchdown Prop Pick: Over  

Chiefs Vs Buccaneers – Quarter of First Touchdown

The odds on a touchdown being scored in the second quarter are great. +500 on the second quarter makes a ton of sense. Also consider taking the +3200 odds on the third quarter. Who knows? Both teams could get into a field position – field goal type game in the first half before opening it up in the second. 

Touchdown Prop Pick: Second Quarter & Third Quarter


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