NFL Tennessee At Houston Week 4 AFC South Winning Predictions

Posted by Eric Williams on September 29, 2016 in

The Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans will both be looking to get the victory when they square off in their Week 4 AFC South NFL divisional showdown on Sunday.

Now, let’s find out where the value in this matchup lies as well as the latest betting odds here..

Analyzing The NFL Titans At Texans Week 4 AFC South Winning Predictions

When: Sunday, October 2, 2016 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: NRG Stadium
Live Stream: CBS Sports Network
NFL Odds: Houston Texans -6.5 / Over/Under: 40.5



Bet The Tennessee Titans at +6.5 Because…

Tennessee Titans is playing excellent defense and has a powerful rushing attack. The Titans are coming off a hard-fought 17-10 loss to Oakland in Week 3 while failing to cover the spread as a 2-point underdog. The Titans offense is tied for dead last in the NFL in scoring at 14.0 points per game and Tennessee has a minus-five turnover ratio.

Second-year quarterback Marcus Mariota has completed 62.6 percent of his passes with four touchdown passes but he has also tossed four interceptions while rushing for 52 yards. Demarco Murray leads Tennessee in rushing with 245 yards but he has scored just one touchdown in three games. Murray also has a team-high 17 receptions with two of those going for touchdowns. Defensively, Tennessee has been limiting the opposition to just 19.0 points per game to rank 10th.

Bet The Houston Texans at -6.5 Because…

The Texans are a bi desperate after getting embarrassed the last time out. Houston is coming off a dismal 27-0 shutout loss against New England in Week 3 and never came close to covering the NFL betting odds as a 1-point underdog. The Texans re tied with Tennessee for last in scoring (14.0 ppg) and have a minus-two turnover ratio.

First-year starting quarterback Brock Osweiler has completed a modest 59.6 percent of his passes with three touchdowns, but the former Broncos signal-caller has also tossed four costly interceptions. New starting running back Lamar Miller leads the team with 269 yards while Pro Bowl wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins leads the Texans with 16 catches and two touchdowns while speedy rookie wideout Will Fuller has added a dozen catches and one touchdown.

Houston is ranked seventh in points allowed at 17.7 per game and fifth in yards allowed per game at 277. Still the Texans have recorded just one interception, though they have recorded four fumble recoveries and 10 sacks. The Texans have put all-world defensive end J.J. Watt on the injured reserve list, so he’ll be out of the lineup for at least the next eight weeks.

Expert Prediction and Pick

The Tennessee Titans might have a losing record right now, but I like the way they’ve played competitive football all season and I believe they are an excellent pick to cover the spread at the very least in this Week 4 matchup. First and foremost, Houston doesn’t have the most explosive offense and that alone will allow Tennessee to keep the final score close, even against a very good Texans defense. More importantly, the Titans aren’t the same old pushovers on the defensive side of the ball that they used to be.

Both of these teams are only averaging a modest 14.0 points per game, but Tennessee is limiting its opponents to an impressive 19.0 points per game to Houston’s 17.6 points allowed per contest. I know Houston has won four straight against Tennessee, but again, these Titans are a bit different from the teams we’ve seen in the past.  I say keep it simple and back Tennessee to cover a point spread that should be closer to three points than a touchdown.

My Pick: Houston 24 Tennessee 21