Tom Brady NFL Player Props Trends vs the Packers

Written by on October 16, 2020

Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Green Bay Packers on Monday at Raymond James Stadium. Here are some betting insights and tips for the QB’s passing prop bets.

Brady’s Last Time Out

Tom Brady’s Last Time Out
Opponent Comp Att Yds TDs INTs
Week 5 Bears 25 41 253 1 0

Betting Information

Tom Brady Week 6 Prop Bets
Over/Under Over Odds Under Odds
Passing Yards 294.5 -115 -115
Passing TDs 2.5 113 -143

Passing Yards Betting Trends

  • Brady’s per-game passing yardage average in 2020 (275.0) is 19.5 passing yards fewer than Sunday’s over/under.
  • In two of five games this season (40%), Brady has thrown for more than 294.5 yards.
  • Brady has thrown for more than his season passing yards prop average (271.3) by 3.7 yards per game in 2020.
  • Brady has failed to cover his passing yards prop bet total in more than half his games, covering just two out of five times (40%).
  • In only two games this season (40%), Brady has exceeded his average passing yards over/under of 271.3.
  • No player has posted more than 294.5 passing yards in a game against Green Bay this season.
  • The 271.8 passing yards the Packers defense gives up per game makes them the NFL’s 17th-ranked pass defense this season.

Passing TDs Betting Tips

  • Brady is averaging 2.4 passing touchdowns per game, 0.1 fewer than the over/under of 2.5 set for Sunday’s matchup.
  • In two of five games this season (40%), Brady has grabbed more than 2.5 passing touchdowns.
  • Brady’s season average of 2.4 passing touchdowns per game is 0.7 more than the average over/under of his passing touchdowns prop bets, at 1.7.
  • Brady has gone over on passing touchdowns prop bets in three of five games (60%).
  • Brady has put up more than 1.7 passing touchdowns — his season-long average passing touchdowns prop bet over under — in three of his five games (60%).
  • Green Bay has allowed just one player to throw more than 2.5 touchdowns in a game this season.
  • The Packers defense has allowed the 16th most passing touchdowns in the NFL this season (1.8 per game).

Brady vs the Packers (Last 2 Games)

Tom Brady vs the Packers
Comp Att Yds TDs INTs
11/4/2018 22 35 294 1 0
11/30/2014 22 35 245 2 0
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