Top NFL Week 16 Betting Predictions

Posted by Eric Williams on Tuesday,December 20, 2016 1:04, EDT in

Will Tom Brady and the New England Patriots rout the struggling New York jets in their AFC East divisional matchup? Will Andrew Luck and Derek Carr turn their AFC battle of Super Bowl hopefuls into a shootout for the ages? Last but not least, can Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks put away Carson Palmer and the Arizona Cardinals by double digits to cover the NFL betting line? Let’s find out the answers to all three questions right now.

Top NFL Week 16 Betting Predictions

New York Jets at New England

When: 1:00 PM ET, Saturday, December 24, 2016
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
NFL Odds: New England -16.5

Analysis: The New York Jets (4-10 SU, 5-9 ATS) have lost five of their last six games and looked completely inept in their 34=13 blowout loss to Miami on Sunday. Tom Brady and the New England Patriots (12-2 SU, 11-3 ATS) have won five straight and completely shut down Denver in their convincing 16-3 win over the Broncos this past weekend.

While the Jets have absolutely no chance whatsoever of pulling off the outright upset, I think the Jets are going to find a way to keep the final score inside the nearly 17-point spread to cover with just a bit of room to spare.

The Jets and the underdog in this series are both 6-0- 1 ATS in the last seven games between these division rivals while New York has also gone 3-0- 1 ATS in their last four road games against New England.

NFL Pick: New England 28 NY Jets 14

Indianapolis at Oakland

When:  Saturday, December 24, at 4:05 PM ET
Where: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, California
NFL Odds: Oakland -3.5
Total: 53

Analysis: Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts (7-7 SU, 7-6 ATS) looked phenomenal in dispatching the Minnesota Vikings with ease in their 34-6 blowout of Minnesota.

Derek Carr and the Oakland Raiders (11-3 SU, 9-5 ATS) fought gamely in their 19-16 comeback win over San Diego last weekend. While the Raiders have the much better SU record, the Colts average just one fewer point per game than Oakland while allowing just 0.2 points per game more defensively. Having said all of this, I’m fully expecting this to be a tight affair that plays Under the high, 53-point O/U Total.

The Under is 4-0 in Indy’s last four games following an SU win and 4-1 in the Colts’ last five games overall. The Under is also 4-1 in Oakland’s last 5 Week 16 games and 7-3 in their last 10 Saturday contests.

Last but not least, the Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these teams and I think oddsmakers have greatly overestimated the total in this intriguing matchup. Oakland wins a tight contest that plays under the total.

NFL Pick: Oakland 24 Indianapolis 21

Arizona at Seattle

When:  Saturday, December 24 at 4:25 PM ET
Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, Washington
NFL Odds: Seattle-8

Analysis: Carson Palmer and the Arizona Cardinals have lost two straight games, but they’re my pick to cover the spread against Russell Wilson and a Seattle Seahawks team that has alternated SU wins and losses over their last four games.

Firs and foremost, the Cardinals are a robust 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in the month of December. Throw in the fact that Seattle is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win and that the road team in this NFC West rivalry is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and it’s easy to see Arizona covering in a losing effort.

56 percent of the betting public likes Seattle, but I don’t, particularly seeing as how these NFC West rivals played to a pitiful 6-6 tie in late October.

NFL Pick: Seattle 24 Arizona 21